Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday recaps, Wednesday picks on NHL 1P Overs (1/12)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

January 12, 2022 04:42 AM
Maple_Leafs_celebrate

The first part of Tuesday was spent in the Tuleys’ Take home office writing our regular “Tuley’s Takes” column with our takes on the 6 NFL wild-card games this weekend, while the rest of the day was spent writing my 3,0000-word story on DURBIFY’s long journey to win the Circa Sports Million that actually started around 20 years earlier by winning an offshore contest that mirrored the then-Hilton SuperContest. You can read that HERE.

I took short breaks in the 4 p.m. PT and 7 p.m. PT hours to check in on my best bets for the day. The earlier game, which I suggested for those who want to parlay my NHL First-Period Over plays for a better payout, was the Canucks-Panthers Over 1.5 goals -140 as it easily went Over 1.5 s the Panthers jumped out to a 2-0 lead in just 6:24 while the Canucks added a 3rd goal to make it 2-1 just over 11.5 minutes into game.

Then, our best bet of the day was the Maple Leafs-Golden Knights First-Period Over 1.5 -135 as the teams played to a 1-1 tie in the first 20 minutes with each scoring a goal before 13 minutes had been played. If you just played the best bet, you won 1 unit. If you hit the parlay, it should have paid around 186 or around odds of 8-5.

I was so busy writing that I didn’t get to Tweet out my daily betting results @ViewFromVegas, but we have them here in Tuley’s Takes Today, and then we’ll try to find another best bet for Wednesday.

Tuesday’s recaps

CBB: No. 19 Texas Tech upset No. 1 Baylor 65-62 as 11.5-point road underdog and + 515 on the money line after rallying from 15-point deficit. Stanford upset No. 5 USC as 7-point home underdog and + 235 on ML as the Trojans fell as the last unbeaten major college team in the country. No. 4 Auburn beat No. 24 Alabama 81-77 as 3-point road dog and + 130 on ML. No. 9 Kansas beat No. 15 Iowa State 62-61, but did NOT cover as 13.5-point home fave. 

NBA: Faves/dogs split 3-3 on Tuesday, but dogs led 5-1 ATS as the Thunder (+ 6.5 in 122-118 loss at Wizards) and Raptors (+ 4.5 in 99-95 loss vs. Suns) covered in SU losses. Upset were by the Grizzlies (+ 2 vs. Warriors), Pelicans (+ 3.5 vs. Timberwolves) and Clippers (+ 2.5 vs. Nuggets). Overs went 4.2.

NHL: Faves went 6-1 on Tuesday, including Blackhawks closing as shortest of faves at -110 in 4-2 win at the Blue Jackets, though some books had them as short dogs. The only clear-cut upset was by the Predators (+ 120 in 5-4 win vs. Avalanche). Overs went 4-2-1 with the push coming in the Blackhawks-Blue Jackets game (6).

Wednesday’s Take

Maple Leafs-Coyotes First-Period Over 1.5 -125: We have no reason to not stick with 1P Overs. I like this the most on Wednesday’s card with the Coyotes 20-13 on these bets with the Maple Leafs 19-15 (but also on a 9-0 run after cashing for us last night in Vegas) for a combined 39-28 (58.2 percent) hit rate while -125 just requires around 55.6 percent. I’d lay up to -150. Like yesterday, this is clearly the best bet on the board, but if you want to turn this into a dog on a two-team parlay, I’d use it with the Kraken-Stars 1P Over 1.5 -125.

 

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PRO TIPS & PICKS

A Numbers Game: Be careful betting baseball games right now, if they don’t involve teams still trying to make the playoffs. Teams that have clinched or teams that are completely out of it will be approaching games far differently. View more tips.

Ian Cameron: USC at Colorado - OVER (73.5). View more picks.

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