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Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday recaps, Wednesday best bets in NBA, MLB, NHL 4/13

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN senior reporter) 

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Tuesday was a long day for yours truly in and out of the Tuley’s Takes home office.

For starters, Monday ended late at 1:37 a.m. PT Tuesday when I posted yesterday’s “Tuley’s Takes Today” and then I had to wake up at 4:30 a.m. to take my middle daughter Peyton (again, she’s the one who wants to be an actress/singer/playwright) and my wife to the airport so they could fly to New York to visit Broadway for the first time (and had to hear and worry about the subway shooter being on the loose).

I then stopped with my 12-year-old son, Maddux, in Primm, Nev., to have breakfast at the IHOP in Whiskey Pete’s Casino to finish my regular weekly “Tuley’s Takes” column for Point Spread Weekly and make my daily bets before crossing the border into California, which still doesn’t have legalized sports betting, on our way to Knott’s Berry Farm in Anaheim. We also went to the No. 1 movie in the land, “Sonic 2.”

I’m glad I included making my wagers on my mobile apps as we won with our Best Bet on the Cavaliers against the Nets in the first NBA play-in tournament game. We posted the play as + 8 and then + 8.5 and was able to get + 9.5 early Tuesday. It actually looked like the wrong side most of the game as the Nets jumped out to a 20-point lead at 40-20 at the end of the first quarter, but the Cavs gradually chipped away and ended up covering all numbers in their 7-point loss, 115-108.

We’ll take it, as we improved our record to 39-19-1 ATS (67.2 percent) with our top play of the day the past 59 days. Our lesser plays didn’t fare as well (faves went 12-2 on Tuesday, so that figures) as we lost with the Blue Jays and Padres, though I did find one of the winning dogs with the Rockies + 140 at the Rangers. Our NHL 1P Over plays didn’t fare too well either as we lost our top play on the Oilers-Wild 1P Over 1.5 -170 and went 1-2 with our other recommended plays.

But at least we keep making the right decisions with our top plays.

Let’s recap the rest of Tuesday’s betting action and try to get back on the winning track with all our picks. 

 

Tuesday’s recaps

NBA: Timberwolves (-3) beat Clippers 109-104 in Tuesday’s late play-in tournament game to claim the No. 7 seed in the Western Conferenceas the game stayed Under the betting total of 232.5 points. Earlier, the Nets (-9.5) beat the Cavaliers 115-108 to claim the No. 7 seed in the Eastern Conference, but did NOT cover the spread as the game stayed Under 227.

MLB: Faves went 12-2 with Indians-Reds closing a consensus pick-'em. The only upsets were by the Rockies (+ 139 in 4-1 win at Rangers) and Mets (+ 127 in 2-0 win at Phillies). Road teams went 8-7 on Tuesday. Unders went 8-5-2 with the pushes in Brewers-Orioles (9) and Dodgers-Twins (9).

 

More MLB: After going 12-2 on Tuesday (with 1 pick-'em), faves improved to 45-29 SU with that 1 PK. Home teams only lead 33-31. Unders improved to 41-27-7 (60.3 percent), thanks mostly to going 13-1-1 last Saturday as Unders lead just 28-26-6 the other 5 days.

 

NHL: Faves went 8-6 with upsets by the Sabres (+ 345 at Maple Leafs), Stars (+ 140 vs. Lightning), Canucks (+ 126 vs. Golden Knights), Senators (+ 112 at Reds Wings), Blues (+ 110 at Bruins) and Islanders (-106 vs. Penguins). Overs went 7-5-2 with pushes in Blues-Bruins (6) and Sabres-Maple Leafs (7).

 

Wednesday’s Takes

 

Spurs + 5.5 at Pelicans: I mentioned this as a lean when I was on “The Lookahead” on Sunday night and I like it even more now that gameday is here. The home teams went 2-0 SU on Tuesday (luckily, we covered with the Cavs) and obviously the home teams are supposed to be the better team since they have the better record, but the Spurs own this season series 3-1, including winning both games in New Orleans.

 

Padres 1st 5 Innings + 105 at Giants: I’m not a big fan of Wednesday’s betting menu (probably due to the aforementioned fact of the faves going 12-2 Tuesday as we have some mismatches in these current series). But I’ll count on the Padres to bounce back from Tuesday’s lopsided loss with Sean Manaea making his second start for his new team even though it’s against Logan Webb. By going with the 1st 5 Inning line, we get a push if it’s tied in a pitchers’ duel (we would also consider the 1st 5 Inning Under 3.5 or Under 7.5 for the game.

 

NHL 1P Overs: It’s a short schedule on Wednesday, made shorter by the postponed Kraken-Wings game. The only one I would touch would be Canadiens-Blue Jackets 1P Over -165 as it’s the only one with a game total of 6.5 while the Blue Jackets are 11-4 with 1P Overs in their last 15 games.

 

Good luck today (and every day!).

 

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