Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday recaps, Wednesday best bet (10/27)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

October 27, 2021 04:51 AM
Yuli_Gurriel

As I’ve written before, Tuesdays are mostly spent in the Tuley’s Takes home office writing my regular column for Point Spread Weekly and helping with the rest of the edition.

It was nice to mix in Game 1 of the World Series, but unfortunately our best bet on the Astros’ run line came up short. The Astros never even led as Atlanta’s Jorge Soler hit the third pitch of the game for a homer and the Braves won rather easily. But I comforted myself with a “you can’t win ‘em all” as we’ve had a very profitable run late in the MLB season and playoffs, plus had a very good weekend with our football plays.

Let’s get to the general betting recaps from Tuesday night and then we’ll dive back into the World Series. We’ll add our PSW best bets in Thursday’s edition and give our recommendations on whether to bet ASAP or wait for the weekend.

Tuesday’s recaps

MLB: Braves (+ 115 road underdog) beat the Astros 6-2 on Tuesday night in Game 1 of the World Series. The game stayed just Under the betting total of 8.5 runs despite a couple of long drives that came up short, including Houston’s Yuli Gurriel hitting one off the wall and getting thrown out by Atlanta’s Eddie Rosario as Gurriel did a face-plant sliding into second. Overall in the playoffs (not counting wild-card games), faves still lead 18-12, home teams still lead 19-11 and Overs dipped to 18-12.

NBA: Favorites went 4-1 SU on Tuesday with the lone upset by the Lakers, who closed as 2-point road underdogs in a 125-121 win at the Spurs. Underdogs actually led 3-2 ATS on the night as the Thunders (+ 11 vs. Warriors) and Rockets (+ 11 at Mavericks) both covered in SU losses. Unders led 3-2 with HOU-DAL staying just Under 222.5 by half a point in the Mavericks’ 116-106 victory. 

NHL: Favorites went 5-2 on Tuesday with the only upsets by the Flames (+ 100) in 5-3 win at Devils and the Golden Knights (+) 162 in 3-1 win at Avalanche. Road teams also went 5-2 as road faves were a perfect 3-0. Overs went 4-3 on the night.

Wednesday’s Takes

Astros (+ 145) to win World Series: I expect the Astros’ bats to prevail and for Houston to ultimately win the series despite losing Game 1 and only scoring two runs. We could lay around -112 in Wednesday night’s Game 2 (and I wouldn’t talk you out of it if that’s what you want to do), but I prefer to go ahead and take the plus-money on the Astros to win the series. If they’re going to win the series, they probably need to win Game 2 anyway, but we’re locking in a better price. A lot of the Astros’ key players were on the 2017 championship team that also lost Game 1 to the Dodgers, so I don’t expect them to panic.

Good luck today (and every day!).

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • reynolds

    Hero World Challenge best bets

    While the official PGA Tour season is on pause until January, an elite field of 20 players gathers this week for the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas....
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for Font-Aldo UFC card

    After a week off for Thanksgiving, the UFC heads into its last three productions of 2021 starting with Saturday’s UFC Fight Night from the Apex...
  • USATSI_17242641

    Peterson: Best bet for Nebraska vs. NC State

    The Big Ten/ACC Challenge will be decided on Wednesday and NC State will look to both help its profile, and also that of the ACC, as the Wolfpack...
  • vontobelnfl

    NFL Week 12 lessons learned

    It was an emotional week for me in the NFL, as the Indianapolis Colts’ failed cover cost me a share of the first-place prize in the Westgate SuperContest...
  • vontobelnba

    Three NBA trends to watch

    It was a somewhat quiet week in the NBA with the league taking a night off for Thanksgiving, but there is still plenty to discuss. This week we touch...
  • macneil

    Hockey bettors must beat closing line

    In the end, wins and losses are really all that matters, because every sports bettor’s goal is to make money. However, wins and losses don’t...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games wise guys like

    NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 13

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints The Dallas Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU and ATS) on Thursday night as both...
  • moore

    Let's re-examine Gonzaga wagers

    Those predictions we heard about this college basketball season being filled with upsets and uncertainty? Well, they seem to be pretty accurate just a...
  • makinennfl

    Simulating rest of NFL season

    (To view the charts associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 13 card

    NFL Week 12 was a rough roller-coaster here in the Tuley’s Takes home office and for a lot of bettors. Thanksgiving weekend actually started great...
  • burkecbb

    CBB schedule strength key for bettors

    Another week of college basketball is in the books, and we have some bigger sample sizes to consider now. Most teams have still played only about one-fifth...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close