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Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday MLB recap, Wednesday MLB pick (10-6)

By Dave Tuley  ( senior reporter) 

October 5, 2021 11:15 PM

Baseball continues to be a great side hustle during the football season here in the Tuley’s Takes office as the Red Sox came through for us Tuesday night in the AL wild-card game.

The line opened Yankees -115/Red Sox + 105, and while we were doing our write-up on Monday night, the consensus went to -120/+ 110, which is what I gave out in this column. We were pleased all day to see the public continue loading up on the favored Yankees and I hope my followers out there were able to get + 120 and maybe even + 125.

Now, if you’ve been around for any part of the three-plus weeks since this daily version of my “Tuley’s Takes” column started, I’m sure you know how we’re playing the NL wild-card game on Wednesday when the St. Louis Cardinals visit the Los Angeles Dodgers.

But let’s get the formalities out of the way with the general recap of Tuesday night’s game, and then we’ll make it official with Wednesday’s “take,” plus give an early preview of my NFL picks for the weekend.

Tuesday’s recap

MLB: Red Sox beat Yankees 6-2 in AL wild-card game on Tuesday night. The Red Sox did it after closing as + 120 home underdogs (Yankees were bet from -115 to as high as -135). The game, which looks like an Under for nearly tthe whole game, Pushed on the closing total of 8 runs when Giancarlo Stanton hit a "meaningless" solo HR in the top of ninth inning. That was a little bit of a bad Push for Under bettors who bet the closing line, though not for those that bet early as the total opened 8.5 at most books (and 9 at a few such as the Westgate and Wynn in Las Vegas). 

Wednesday’s Take (plus NFL look-ahead)

Cardinals + 200 at Dodgers: The Cardinals were great to me down the stretch in these columns as we rode them to eight straight winning bets (all at plus-money as we laid the -1.5 on the run line in the few games when they were favored) during their 17-game winning streak, and then made the right call to back off when they clinched this wild-card spot. Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) starts for the Dodgers, so I understand why they’re favored, but the Cardinals’ Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) ain’t no slouch and this line is a bargain at anything around 2-1. Both pitchers won their lone start against the other team this year, but the Dodgers only won the season series 4-3, so frankly anything at + 150 or above would have me on the Cards. 

And let’s give our rundown of our NFL best bets from Point Spread Weekly as we update our recommendations here on when to make these plays as the lines move during the week.

Seahawks kicking off week on Thursday Night Football with 6-point teasers at + 8 and linking with whatever combinations you like from among these plays: Football Team from + 1.5 to + 7.5 vs. the Saints, Vikings -8 down to -2 vs. the Lions (though, as you’ll see below, I actually like the Lions plus the points, so hopefully we can hit a middle there!), Browns + 1.5 to + 7.5 at the Chargers, Cowboys -7 down to -1 vs. the Giants, Bills + 3 (or possibly + 2.5 by the time you read this) to + 9 or + 8.5 at the Chiefs and Ravens -7 down to -1 vs. the Colts

Jets + 3 vs. Falcons in London

Football Team teased up to + 7.5 vs. Saints

Lions + 8 at Vikings, though also using Vikings -2 in teasers

Bengals + 3 vs. Packers

Browns teased up to + 7 at Chargers

Giants + 7 at Cowboys, though using Cowboys -1 in teasers

Bills + 3 at Chiefs if you can still get it

Colts + 7 at Ravens on MNF, though using Ravens -1 in teasers

Good luck today (and every day!).





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