Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday betting recaps, Wednesday MLB picks plus NFL preseason 8/17

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 


Tuesday was spent, per usual, writing our original weekly version of this column for VSiN’s digital online magazine, Point Spread Weekly, which just finished our 5th year of publishing since launching right before the 2017 football season.

We also worked on some chores around the house while waiting for our baseball action to begin.

It was worth the wait as we won our Best Bet of the day on the Tigers 1st 5 + 165 (we got + 173 at Circa) at the Guardians in their “swagger” role after snapping their 8-game losing streak on Monday. They used that momentum to lead 4-1 after the 5th inning and also went on to win 4-3 as + 185 full-game ML dogs.

We also cashed in again on the Rays 1st 5 + 145 at the Yankees as they led 3-1 after 5 innings and went on to win the full game by the same score. I did suffer one loss on the Mets 1st 5 + 140 at the Braves as they trailed 5-0; I wouldn’t call it a Bad Beat as NY starter Tijuan Walker pitched 2 scoreless innings before leaving with an injury, but it was bad luck to not get to see if he could have at least gotten us a push if he could have lasted 5 innings.

Well, we can’t complain too much about going 2-1 for + 2.18 units.

Let’s recap the rest of Tuesday’s (full-game) betting results in MLB (and repeating the NFL stats from the weekend) and then look for more plays on Wednesday, plus adding some NFL Preseason Week 2 picks for the weekend.

Tuesday’s recaps

MLB: Faves went 9-6 Tuesday with upsets by the Orioles (+ 188 in 4-2 win at Blue Jays), Tigers (+ 185 in 4-3 win at Guardians), Rays (+ 142 in 3-1 win at Yankees), Marlins (+ 132 in 4-3 win vs. Padres), White Sox (+ 115 in 4-3 win vs. Astros) and A's (+ 115 in 5-1 win at Rangers to snap 9-game losing streak). Road teams went 8-7; Over/Unders split 6-6-3 with pushes in SD-MIA (7), BOS-PIT (8) and HOU-CHW (7).

More MLB: Faves lead 1,039-837 SU (60.3 percent) on the season with 26 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back over 60 percent). Home teams lead 926-821 (53 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 856-797-92 (51.8 percent).

NFL preseason (ICYMI): Dogs finished 8-7 SU and 9-6 ATS in Preseason Week 1 with 1 pick-'em (Dolphins-Buccaneers). Home/road teams split 8-8 SU with home teams leading 9-7 ATS. Overs went 13-3. Including neutral-site HOF Game the week before, faves/dogs are tied 8-8 SU overall with 1 PK but dogs lead 9-7 ATS. Overs lead 14-3.

Wednesday’s Takes

A’s 1st 5 + 135 at Rangers: Most books weren’t showing a 1st 5 line early this morning (2:45 a.m. PT) but the A’s are + 145 on the full-game ML so the 1st line should fall somewhere in this range. The A’s are in a swagger spot (just like the Tigers yesterday) after snapping a 9-game losing streak, Neither pitcher has been effective with Oakland’s Adam Oller (1-5, 7.26 ERA, 1.78 WHIP) vs. Texas’s Cole Ragans (0-1, 4.82 ERA, 1.71 WHIP), but I’ll take the plus-money in an otherwise pick-’em affair and count on the A’s offense to keep its momentum after snapping the skid.

Rays 1st 5 + 110 at Yankees: The Yankees have been getting great starting pitching in their recent skid, but not generating any offense. So, I have no trouble fading them again with Domingo German on the mound as the Rays counter with Corey Kluber.

Here are my NFL Preseason Week 2 plays. For the reasoning behind the picks, VSiN subscribers can check them out in Point Spread Weekly:

Thursday: Bears-Seahawks Over 42.5

Friday: Rams + 3 vs. Texans

Saturday: Broncos Bills Under 42.5 and Cardinals + 6.5 or higher vs. Ravens

Good luck today (and every day!).

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