Tuley's Takes Today: Sunday recaps, updated ATS stats, Monday Best Bets 6/20

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN senior reporter) 

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Sunday was Father’s Day (so hope all the dads out there had an enjoyable day). As I wrote in yesterday’s column, my family celebrated my holiday on Saturday as we were leaving town on vacation early Sunday.

We spent 8 hours driving from the Tuley’s Takes home office in North Las Vegas to California for a summer camp for our two younger kids near the entrance to Yosemite Park. So, we watched very little live sports during the day and had to catch up at our hotel pool to post our nightly recaps on Twitter.

The good news is we had a pretty good betting day (placing our bets before leaving the Silver State) as we won our Best Bet on the Tigers + 135 in a 7-3 win vs. the Rangers and also our secondary play on the Marlins + 125 in a 6-2 win at the Mets. We did lose our play on the Panthers-Maulers Under 42, but overall a pretty good day.

Let’s recap the rest of Sunday’s betting action (including the U.S. Open, which again we mostly just followed on our phone) and try to keep the winning going on Monday.

Sunday’s recaps

PGA: Matt Fitzpatrick won the U.S. Open on Sunday for his first PGA major victory. The ViewFromVegas is he was 30-1 pre-tournament, 12-1 after Thursday’s 1st round, 20-1 after Friday’s 2nd round and 3-1 entering Sunday’s final round.

MLB: Dogs went 11-4 on Sunday with the most interesting upsets IMHO by the Blue Jays (+ 146 in 10-9 win to snap Yankees' 9-game winning streak), Pirates (+ 169 in 4-3 win vs. Giants) and Indians (+ 152 in 5-3 win at Dodgers). Home teams were 10-5. Unders went 8-6-1 with the push in the Astros’ 4-3 win vs. the White Sox with a betting total of 7 runs.

More MLB: Faves lead 593-388 SU (60.4 percent) on the season with 17 games closing pick-'em (faves usually win around 59 percent, so faves still well ahead of that pace). Home teams lead just 510-488 (51.1 percent, but usually closer to 54 percent). Unders improved slightly to 490-458-48 (51.7 percent).

USFL: Gamblers beat Breakers 20-3 Sunday night to wrap up the USFL’s 10-week regular season. The Gamblers did it as 3-point underdogs (stayed Under closing total of 38.5 points). Earlier, Panthers (-3) covered in their 33-21 win vs. the Maulers to win next year's No. 1 pick (went Over 42.5).

More USFL: Faves/dogs split 1-1 SU and ATS on Sunday, Over/Unders also 1-1. Faves 3-1 SU in Week 10 but dogs led 2-1-1 ATS while Over/Unders split 2-2. Faves finished season 30-10 SU (75 percent) but faves/dogs only tied 19-19-2 ATS (50 percent). Overs finished 22-18 (55 percent) after a 4-8 start through Week 3, so Over were 18-10 (64.3 percent) since then.

NHL: No Stanley Cup Final games since Saturday, but here’s our NHL betting stats reported: Faves/Avalanche have started Stanley Cup Final 2-0 (after going 8-2 last round) and lead 57-28 overall. Home teams also start 2-0 (7-3 last round) and now 53-32 overall. Overs start 2-0 (Unders 7-3 last round) and improved to 45-38-2 (54.2 percent) overall.

Monday’s Takes

Rays + 115 vs. Yankees: As alluded to above in the recaps, the Yankees are in a fade spot as an anti-swagger play after having their 9-game winning streak snapped by the Blue Jays up in Toronto on Sunday. They now have to travel to Tampa for this Monday night game, so we’ll take the Rays as the home dog. It’s a tough spot as the Yankees send out stopper Gerrit Cole (6-1 with Yankees 10-3 in his starts, 3.33 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), but at least we have Shane McClanahan (7-3 with Rays a comparable 9-4 in his starts), plus better 1.84 ERA and 0.86 WHIP). We also like these dogs on Monday: Giants/Webb + 135 or better at the Braves and Cardinals/Mikolas + 140 at the Brewers.

Lightning vs. Avalanche: We’re not calling this our Best Bet of the day as the Lightning have been outplayed so far in the Stanley Cup Final, though we are counting on the two-time defending champs to defend home ice on Monday and get back in this series. I’m just not planning to bet them in Game 3 (mostly a short favorite between -106 and -115) and instead just ride my series bets and not “chase bad money with good” as the saying goes. We’re 2-0 with the Over with smaller bets so far in the series (as I predicted we should go around 3-2-1 overall in the Stanley Cup Final with the betting total of 6 goals).

Good luck today (and every day!).

 

 

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