Tuley's Takes Today: Sunday recap, updated ATS stats, Monday Best Bets 5/30

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN senior reporter) 

May 30, 2022 05:56 AM
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Sunday was a pretty eclectic day in and out of the Tuley’s Takes office.

It started early with the Indianapolis 500 (a Tuley family tradition on Memorial Day Weekend) as well as an early USFL game. We were also following the MLB action and won our Best Bet of the day on the Blue Jays + 110 at the Angels. The Jays led 6-2, but then fell behind 9-6 before tying the game 9-9, then fell behind 10-9 before rallying again for the 12-11 victory.

Mixed in with all this, I took my two youngest kids to “Tootsie: The Comedy Musical” at the Smith Center in Vegas for a little culture.

When we returned home, I cheered in my play on the Stars-Gamblers Over 44.5 in the USFL before getting ready for my weekly appearance on VSiN’s “The Lookahead” at 7:15 p.m. PT.

I did lose my last bet of the day on the Heat + 3 vs. the Celtics. The Heat trailed most of the game by double digits but kept battling back before finally losing by 4 points. At least I didn’t go overboard with my bet as I wrote yesterday that I wasn’t as confident in it, so overall it was a nice profitable day (even with the Tootsie tickets!).

Let’s recap the rest of Sunday’s betting results and try to keep the winning ways going on Monday while also thanking all those who have served this country, especially those who paid the ultimate price for our freedoms.

Sunday’s recaps

NBA: Celtics outlasted the Heat 100-96 on Sunday night to win Eastern Conference Finals Game 7 and advance to the NBA Finals. The ViewFromVegas is they ended up covering after closing as 3-point road favorites (stayed just Under betting total of 198 points). Celtics also covered in zig-zag spot.

More NBA: Faves finished 8-4 SU and ATS in the championship finals round, and lead 54-27 SU and 47-34 ATS (58 percent) overall. Home/road split 6-6 SU and ATS in round, while home teams lead 49-32 SU and 42-39 ATS (51.9 percent) overall. The zig-zag went 7-3 ATS in the round, improving to 37-30 ATS (55.2 percent) overall. Overs 7-5 in round, but Unders lead 48-33 (59.3 percent) overall.

MLB: Faves went 11-4 Sunday with upsets by the Tigers (+ 144 in 2-1 win vs. Guardians), Blue Jays (+ 139 in 11-10 win at Angels), A's (+ 103 in 6-5 win vs. Rangers) and Mets (+ 110 in 5-4 win vs. Phillies in 10 innings on Sunday Night Baseball). Home teams went 10-5. Overs also led 10-5.

More MLB: Faves lead 420-274 SU (60.5 percent) on the season with 14 games closing pick-'em (faves usually win about 59 percent, so faves ahead of that pace). Home teams lead just 363-345 (51.3 percent, usually closer to 54 percent). Unders dipped to 357-315-36 (53.1 percent), way down from 60 percent a little over a month ago.

USFL: Stars (-3.5) covered in 35-24 win vs. Gamblers to wrap up Week 7 (game went over 44.5). Earlier, Stallions (-12.5) beat Maulers 26-16 to remain the league's only unbeaten team at 7-0 but failed to cover for 1st time (stayed Under 42.5). Faves 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS on Sunday, Over/Under 1-1. Faves went 4-0 SU in Week 7 but just 2-2 ATS as Breakers and Stallions failed to cover in their wins. Faves 20-8 SU on season but just 14-13-1 ATS. Over/Unders split 2-2 in Week 7, but Overs still lead 17-11 (60.7 percent).

Auto racing: Denny Hamlin won the NASCAR Coca Cola 600 late Sunday in 2nd overtime in the longest NASCAR race ever (619.5 miles). The ViewFromVegas is Hamlin was around the No. 6 betting choice at most Las Vegas books at around 10-1 to 12-1. Earlier Sunday, Marcus Ericcson won the Indianapolis 500 Sunday after a red-flag restart for the final 4 laps. Ericcson was the 6th or 7th betting choice at most sportsbooks around 14-1 to 16-1.

NHL: No games on Sunday, but faves/home teams have won all 6 games so far in the Rangers-Hurricanes series that has Game 7 on Monday. Faves lead 14-7 in 2nd round and lead 47-25 overall. Home teams now 12-9 in round, 44-28 overall. The zig-zag improved to 8-9 this round with Rangers' win in Game 6 and now leads 32-28 overall. Unders still lead 13-8 this round, but Overs lead 39-31-2 (55.7 percent) overall.

Monday’s Takes

Diamondbacks + 100 vs. Braves: Zac Gallen is Arizona’s stopper. He was knocked around in his last outing, but that only increased his 1.14 ERA to 2.22 and we expect him to bounce back with this start at home, where he is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his last seven starts at Chase Field. Atlanta’s Spencer Strider also has a 2.22 ERA in 11 relief appearances this season but is making his first career start (also lean to Under 8.5 or Under 4.5 in 1st 5 innings).

Rangers + 130 at Hurricanes: Just like Sunday with the NBA’s Heat in Game 7, I’m betting the underdog but don’t like it enough to make it my Best Bet. Obviously it’s been an evenly matched series (Rangers have outscored Canes 14-12), but it’s hard to go too crazy since the home team has won all 6 games so far.

Good luck today (and every day!).

 

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