Tuley's Takes Today: Monday recaps, Tuesday best bets (1/25)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

January 25, 2022 06:08 AM
Luka_Doncic

Monday was a letdown here in the Tuley’s Take home office after the great weekend with the NFL divisional playoffs.

Of course, it didn’t help as I lost my best bet on the Ducks-Bruins First-Period Over 1.5 as the Ducks only led 1-0 after the first 20 minutes. To add insult to my wallet’s injury, the teams scored 2 goals apiece in the second period on the way to a 5-3 win by the Ducks. Yep, 8 goals scored in the game but they couldn’t manage 2 for us in the first period.

Make note of those 4 goals in the second period. I know Mitch and Pauly have talked about this in the past and this is mostly anecdotal, but it sure seems like when I lose a 1P Over bet that the teams fly Over the 2P total. I’m sure I’m exaggerating when I say it feels like it happens 90 percent of the time, but I’m sure I’d be way ahead if I had played it each time (it’s my own fault that I haven’t in all but a few cases).

But, hey, we can't complain too much after sweeping our NFL picks over the weekend with the Bengals, 49ers and Rams/Bills teaser.

We’ll offer our top NHL 1P Over plays for Tuesday below, but we’re making an NBA play our best bet. First, let’s recap the rest of Monday’s betting action.

Monday’s recaps

NBA: Faves went 3-0 SU on Monday with Bulls beating Thunder 111-110 in game that closed pick-'em, though early bettors on Bulls lost as they were -1,5 to -2.5 before closing PK. Dogs led 2-1 ATS as Knicks (+ 4.5 at Cavaliers) and Jazz (+ 12.5 at Suns) covered in SU losses; only fave to cover was Pelicans (-3.5 in 117-113 win vs. Pacers). Overs went 3-1.

CBB: No. 5 Kansas outlasted No. 13 Texas Tech 94-91 in 2OT, but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite as the game flew Over the total of 139 even before overtime (75-75 at end of regulation).

NHL: Faves went 5-2 Monday with only upsets by the Ducks (+ 210 in 5-3 win at the Bruins) and the Golden Knights (+ 130 in 1-0 win at Capitals). Unders went 4-3.

Tuesday’s Takes

Mavericks + 4 at Warriors: This line was between 3 and 5 overnight, so obviously shop for the best number you can get (as of 2 p.m. ET/11 a.m. PT Tuesday, the line was a consensus 3.5, but shop around as + 4 available at William Hill for those with access to those books). The Mavericks, who beat the Warriors 99-82 in Dallas back on Jan, 5, so I believe they’ll be in this game until the end. The Mavs are led by Luka Doncic (25.6 points per game) and I like the 1-2 punch with Kristaps Porzingis (19.9 points per game). The Warriors obviously have Steph Curry, but they’ll be without James Wiseman while Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala are listed as day-to-day. That fact is probably why this line is a little short if we only get + 3 or + 4, but if any of those players are out it certainly increases the Mavericks chances to win outright.

Parlay Golden Knights-Hurricanes First-Period Over 1.5 -155/Panthers-Jets First-Period Over 1.5 -155: VGK are 27-15 with 1P Overs, including 12-5 in their last 17 games despite staying Under on Monday night, while Hurricanes are just 19-18, but have hit 4 in a row and 9 of last 10. Panthers and Jets hit at a combined 47-33 (58.75 percent). The parlay should pay at least + 171.

Good luck today (and every day!).

back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

The Lombardi Line: Bookmakers love parleys, when playing them, you want a mix of favorites and underdogs.

Pro Football Blitz: When you back teams on the raod you want a good running team, when you back teams at home you want a good passing team. With teams on the road usually the underdog, you want a team that can control time of possession like the Tennessee Titans.

 

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Shaun King: Eagles -6.5 vs Jaguars

Brendan Gaughan: Brad Keselowski Top 3 +600

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-09-30_at_6.23.35_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

Close