Tuley's Takes Today: Monday betting recaps, updated MLB stats, Tuesday Best Bets 7/26

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

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Monday was a light work day (relatively speaking) in the Tuley’s Takes home office, as I was able to get out and run some errands and sign up some proxy clients for the Circa and Westgate football contests.

With my sore throat 99 percent gone, it felt great to get out of the house and into other air-conditioned buildings. It was also fun as I met a couple of regular readers at each casino, including Rick at the Westgate who said he starts every day with Tuley’s Takes Today. That made me feel good as that’s always been our No. 1 goal with this column — recap the prior day’s betting results and provide readers with an overview of today’s betting action. Sure, we try to pick winners along the way, but the main objective is to be a daily guide to the gambling lifestyle, and to complement the other offerings VSiN provides for bettors to be informed of all the happenings in the sports betting landscape.

It was great to talk with readers who “get it.”

Unfortunately, I wasn’t able to help with any winners on Monday as I lost my Best Bet on the Angels -105 at the Royals and my secondary play on the Guardians -105 at the Red Sox. Both teams were pick-’em when I gave them out early Monday morning

The Guardians-Red Sox closed at PK while the Angels technically closed as a short -103 dog, but the frustrating part was the dogs actually had a winning SU record on the day at 6-5 and I didn’t land on any of those while going 0-2.

The only personal consolation I had is that – as I posted in Monday’s column – I split my bets between 1st 5-inning wagers and game wagers and pushed on both of the 1st 5 bets as the Guardians tied the Red Sox 1-1 and the Angels-Royals was scoreless through the 1st 5 innings. While I saved money betting that way, it was just as maddening as I continued to find really strong starting pitchers only to get virtually no run support.

I guess the lesson that could be taken from that is to stick to 1st 5-inning bets and hope that I continue to find live pitchers and pray to get some early runs for a change.

Let’s recap the rest of the Monday MLB card (and salivate over all those missed dog opportunities) and then look for plays on Tuesday’s full card.

Monday’s recaps

MLB: Underdogs led 6-5 with Guardians-Red Sox closing consensus pick-'em. Upsets were by the Nationals (+ 265 in 4-1 win at Dodgers late Monday), A's (+ 190 in 7-5 win vs. Astros), Rockies (+ 170 in 2-0 win at Brewers), Phillies (+ 154 in 6-4 win vs. Braves), Tigers (+ 148 in 12-4 win vs. Padres) and Orioles (+ 100 in 5-1 win vs. Rays). Home teams dominated by going 10-2. Unders 8-4.

More MLB: Faves lead 855-567 SU (60.1 percent) on the season with 24 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace, gap had been narrowing but back above 60 percent). Home teams lead just 755-691 (52.2 percent, but usually closer to 54 percent). Unders lead 712-665-67 (51.7 percent).

Tuesday’s Takes

Yankees 1st 5 -110 at Mets: We have a two-game subway series with all of New York talking about a subway World Series this year. Tuesday’s matchup has the Yankees’ Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.24 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) facing the Mets’ Tajuan Walker (7-2, 2.55 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), so that’s still close to a pick-’em with the 20-cent juice that's standard on 1st 5-inning bets. The Yankees have the better lineup overall, plus the Mets hit a little worse against lefties (.236 on the year), so I give a bigger edge to the Yankees early in the game and don’t have to worry about the bullpen letting me down. The other 1st 5 underdogs I like on Tuesday is the Phillies + 100 with Aaron Nola vs. the Braves/Spencer Strider.

Good luck today (and every day!).

 

 

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Follow The Money: Bet as early as possible when bowl lines come out. Lines can move more than a TD in 2-3 weeks before a game. View more tips.
 
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Gill Alexander: Seahawks -7 vs Browns.  View more picks.

Wes Reynolds: Jets +3 at Vikings.  View more picks.

 

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