Tuley's Takes Today: Friday recap, updated betting stats, Saturday picks 5/14

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN senior reporter) 


Friday the 13th was a pretty day personally for yours truly, even though we came pretty close to breaking even on our sports wagers. We got out of the Tuley’s Takes home office as I took my two oldest kids, Jordyn (home from college for the summer) and Peyton (on a senior ditch day) to spend the day with their 85-year-old grandma (my mother-in-law, who I actually get along with) downtown at the Mob Museum (highly recommended!). She’s in town on a golfing trip; she’s more active than the rest of us combined.

Anyway, we had a great time and then went to dinner later with the rest of the family while I sweated my sports bets. I thought I was going to cash my Best Bet of the day as the Grizzlies were right there with the Warriors throughout Game 6 of their series and were actually winning with 6.5 minutes left in the game, but then the Warriors went on a 20-3 run to pull away and cover. That dropped our record to 52-37-1 ATS (58.4 percent) with our top play of the day the past 90 days (that’s coming up on 13 weeks since starting our run with the Bengals + 4.5 on Super Sunday).

We also lost our top NHL play on the Penguins + 105 vs. the Rangers, though we did split the other two games as we won with the Stars + 140 vs. the Flames but lost on the Capitals + 160 vs. the Panthers. We fared better on the diamond with wins on the Padres + 140 at the Braves and Phillies + 190 at the Dodgers. We also mentioned 3 faves that went 2-1 for those that decided to play those anyway.

Let’s recap the rest of Friday’s betting results and try to get back to our winning ways with our Best Bets.

Friday’s recaps

NBA: Warriors (-7.5 at home) pulled away to win and cover 110-96 vs. Grizzlies late Friday to clinch their series 4-2 (the game stayed Under the betting total of 218.5 points). Earlier, the Celtics (+ 1.5 on road) upset Bucks 108-95 to force Game 7 (stayed Under 212.5). Faves/dogs and road/dogs both split 1-1 SU and ATS while Unders swept 2-0.

More NBA: Faves lead 15-9 SU this round, but only .500 at 12-12 ATS, while now 45-22 SU and 38-29 ATS (56.7 percent) overall. Home teams are 18-6 SU and 17-7 ATS this round, 42-25 SU but just 35-32 ATS. The zig-zag went 2-0 ATS on Friday (wins by Celtics and Warriors), 14-6 ATS in this round, 30-25 ATS overall. Unders are 15-9 in round, 42-25 (62.7 percent) overall.

NHL: Faves went 2-1 on Friday as Panthers (-160) beat Capitals 4-3 to clinch their 1st-round series 4-2 and Rangers (-125) beat Penguins 5-3 to force Game 7. The Stars (+ 135) were lone winning dog in 4-2 win vs. the Flames to force Game 7. Road teams went 2-1 while Overs swept 3-0.

More NHL: Faves (on a 9-1 run the last 3 nights) improved to 29-17 SU in the playoffs (also 23-23 on -1.5 puck line). Home teams still lead 28-18. The zig-zag went 1-2 Friday, but still 22-16 SU overall. Overs improved to 30-15-1 (66.7 percent), 22-7-1 (75.9 percent) in the last 8 days after 8-8 start.

MLB: Faves went 8-6 with the Reds-Pirates game closing pick-'em. The biggest upsets were by the Mariners (+ 205 in 2-1 win at Mets), Phillies (+ 193 in 12-10, 10-inning win at Dodgers late Friday) and Padres (+ 132 in 11-6 win at Braves). Roads teams went 11-4. Overs went 8-6-1 with a push in the Red Sox’s 7-1 win at the Rangers with a betting total of 8 runs.

More MLB: Faves dipped to 290-185 SU (61.1 percent) on the season with 11 games closing pick-'em (faves usually win closer to 59 percent SU, so faves still ahead of that pace). Home teams dipped to just 247-239 overall on the season. Unders still lead 249-214-23 (53.8 percent), though still way down from being 60 percent just 18 days ago.

Saturday’s Takes

NBA: No games on Saturday…boooo!

Giants + 100 (even money) at Cardinals: I’ll ride the Giants, who are on a 6-game winning streak, as they’re short road dogs here in St. Louis. The Padres are another live dog at $112 at the Braves, And, hey, we’ve cashed 2 straight nights on the Phillies at the Dodgers, so why not jump on them again at + 155 or higher on Saturday night.

NHL: I don’t like any of the dogs in Saturday’s three Game 7s, so I’ll probably just do a chalk parlay on the Hurricanes -130 vs. the Bruins, Maple Leafs -125 vs. the Lightning and the Oilers -210 vs. the Kings as it pays around + 370.

Generals + 3.5 vs. Breakers: This is the only USFL game on Saturday and I hope readers grabbed the hook with the + 3.5 in this game that I gave out in Point Spread Weekly as it’s down to + 3 at most books.

Good luck today (and every day!).

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