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Tuley's Takes Today: Friday betting recaps, Saturday best bets (2/26)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

USC_celebrate

Friday was a looooooong day for yours truly as it started early in the Tuley’s Takes home office in North Las Vegas, Nev., and ended in Flagstaff, Ariz.

After filing yesterday’s “Tuley’s Takes Today” around 3 a.m. PT, I had to get up at 6:15 a.m. PT to take my son Maddux to his bus stop and then get back to the home office by 6:40 a.m. PT to get the January betting figures from the Nevada Gaming Control Board and Tweet them out before the competition. Then, we had to write a story about the sportsbooks here setting a state record of monthly sports betting handle at $1.11 billion in January and post it HERE on VSiN.com.

After taking my dog Rudy (the ultimate underdog) to the vet for a checkup (he’s fine, just getting old like the rest of us), I had to get my bets in for the night, pack for the road trip, pick up Maddux after school as then drive the 4 hours to Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff as my eldest child, Jordyn, has a band concert on Sunday and we’re also going to the NAU-Weber State game on Saturday afternoon. With sports betting now also legal in Arizona, I’m sure I won’t be the only one in the stands that knows the Lumberjacks are a 7.5-point home underdog (note: my VSiN colleague Greg “Hoops” Peterson has Weber State -9, so I’ll probably pass on a homer wager).

As for the rest of Friday, I took Jordyn and Maddux to dinner at our favorite Route 66 diner, Galaxy Diner, and followed my best bet of the day – Mavericks + 6 at Jazz – as the Mavs came though for the cover in a 114-109 loss to pay for dinner, our hotel room and my gas bill for the day!!! It also started a new winning streak after we lost Thursday with the Nets and are 11-1-1 ATS the past 13 days with our top play in this daily column.

We then returned Jordyn to the dorms, checked Maddux and I into our hotel room to catch the end of the Clippers-Lakers game and do my nightly betting recaps and compile this column.

Now that’s a day!

Oh, we also went 2-1 with our recommended NHL First-Period Over plays as we lost the first game with the Blue Jackets-Hurricanes and won with the Devils-Blackhawks and Jets-Avalanche. If you bet them all at Over 1.5 goals, you probably ended up breaking even. If you bet at books that made you go Over 2, you probably made money as the Devils-Blackhawks and Wild-Avalanche had 3 goals apiece in their opening periods.

Let’s recap the overall betting results for Friday and try to find a second straight best-bet winner on Saturday’s busy sports betting card.

Friday’s recaps

NBA: Clippers (+ 3) rallied in wild final minute to upset the Lakers 105-102 late Friday night. Favorites went 5-4 SU on the day, but underdogs led 5-4 ATS as the Mavericks (+ 6) covered in a 114-109 loss at the Jazz. The other outright upsets were by the Thunder (+ 8 at the Pacers), Hornets (+ 2 vs. the Raptors) and Pelicans (+ 6.5 at the Suns, who had an 8-game winning streak snapped). Overs went 5-4.

NHL: Faves went 5-1 with the lone upset by the Coyotes (+ 222 in 3-1 home win vs. the Golden Knights). The Hurricanes (-350 vs. Blue Jackets), Blues (-320 vs. Sabres), Blackhawks (-115 vs. Devils), Avalanche (-300 vs. Jets) and Kings (-116 at Ducks) all won as faves and all 5 also covered on the -1.5 puck line. Over/Unders split 3-3.

CBB: As the lone Top 25 team in action on Friday night, No. 25 Iowa beat Nebraska 88-78, but did NOT cover after closing as a 12.5-point road favorite. The game went Over the betting total of 162.5 points with :08 left.

Saturday’s Takes

USC + 4 at Oregon: This is my top play on the Saturday college board, and I don't have a live dog I'm playing on the NBA card. I know Oregon won the earlier meeting, 79-69, back on Jan. 15, but I still have USC rated as the better team on their body of work (and current form with a 5-game win streaks and 7-1 in last 8 while Oregon is 2-3 SU and ATS in last 5 with two losses to teams USC has handled. I’m only slightly influenced by the fact USC is 24-4 and ranked No. 16 while Oregon is 18-10. I would usually look to the motivated home underdog in this case, but I was shocked to see Oregon favored at all, let alone by 4 full points at a lot of books late Friday night. I checked Greg Peterson’s and was happy to see he has USC -1.5, so clearly value on the Trojans as road dogs.   

Oilers-Panthers First-Period Over 1.5 -160: We’re seeing that line overnight at BetMGM (-170 at ResortsWorld in Vegas) though most books will probably have this at Over 2. This is clearly my favorite NHL 1P Over on Saturday with the Panthers on a 4-game 1P Over streak, 18-4 in their last 22 and a league-best record at 36-16 (all stats via @PSUOtto on Twitter). The Oilers are the No. 4 1P Over team at 33-18 for a combined 69-34 (67 percent). I love the Over 1.5 up to -200 but would also take Over 2. If looking for a game to parlay it to, I prefer Avalanche-Golden Knights 1P Over -135 as they’re a combined 63-39 (61.8 percent) with 1P Overs. 

Good luck today (and every day!).

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