Tuley's Takes Today 8/31: Best Bets for Wednesday's MLB games

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 


Tuesday was an incredibly surreal day for yours truly, Dave Tuley.

You see, since joining VSiN nearly 5 years ago, my Tuesdays have been spent writing the original version of this column for Point Spread Weekly. That means, for the better part of 260 weeks (probably around 250 with a few weeks taken off), I’ve known that my Tuesdays would be dedicated to writing at least 500 words and up to 3,000 words or more for my NFL columns that gave my “takes” on every game on the schedule. And then I would also help edit/proofread each week’s issue.

With PSW being discontinued, that had me questioning what day of the week it was all Tuesday.

Fortunately, I was brought back to reality as my MLB 1st 5 inning plays went 3-1 on the day. We won our Best Bet on the Diamondbacks 1st 5 + 120 cashed easily as they led the Phillies 9-0 behind the stellar pitching of Zac Gallen (34 1/3 straight scoreless innings) on the way to a 12-3 victory. I also went 2-1 with my other plays as the A’s 1st 5 + 100 (though I had to lay -110) led the Nationals 10-5 after 5 innings and the Royals 1st 5 + 110 held on to lead the White Sox 5-4 after 5 innings. Our only loss was on the Orioles 1st 5 + 125 as they trailed the Guardians 5-1. That’s a net profit of 2.3 units.

Before we get to Wednesday’s plays . . . in case you missed it on Monday when VSiN was announcing several changes to our broadcasting and digital plans for the football season, here’s how it impacts this column.

CHANGES TO TULEY’S TAKES COLUMNS: Followers of these daily versions of “Tuley’s Takes Today” will be happy to hear that these will continue throughout the football season and beyond (last year, we did 289 straight days – more than 41 straight weeks – of TTT from the opening of the NFL season until the end of the Stanley Cup Finals in June. We’ll recap the prior day’s betting events, update our season-long betting stats in MLB, NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL and other major events such as the CFB regular season, bowl season, March Madness, etc.

As for regular readers of our original weekly version of “Tuley’s Takes” that appeared in Point Spread Weekly, that publication has come to an end but our popular “takes” on every game of the NFL schedule (where I apply my “dog-or-pass” approach in give my picks but also which games to pass, which many readers see as a “buy” sign on the favorite if I’m unable to make a case for the favorite) will be folded into these daily columns. We’ll continue to post that looooong column on Wednesday mornings like our loyal readers have come to expect. We’ll then have the opportunity to update picks (advising when to wait for the line to move in our favor, or to pass if we no longer think a side offers value) throughout the week and into the weekend.

In line with our bosses saying that the VSiN changes are intended to serve 2022 sports bettors in the way they consume all our content. We believe our followers will appreciate that they can easily find all our “takes” in one place as I’m sure some readers were a little confused on days when there would be 2 “Tuley’s Takes” versions on the VSiN home page.

Having said all that, let’s recap the rest of Tuesday’s (full-game) betting results and then look for more plays on Wednesday.

Tuesday’s recaps

MLB: Faves went 9-5 Tuesday with A’s-Nationals closing pick-'em. The upsets were by the Rockies (+ 300 in 3-2 win at Braves), Reds (+ 185 in 5-1 vs. Cardinals), Pirates (+ 155 in 4-2 win at Brewers), Royals (+ 118 in 9-7 win at White Sox) and Diamondbacks (+ 114 in 12-3 win at Phillies). Road teams went 10-5. Over/Unders split 7-7-1 with the push in Cubs-Blue Jays (8) game for 2nd straight night.

More MLB: Faves lead 1,144-761 SU (60 percent) on the season with 30 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back to 60 percent). Home teams lead 1,020-913 (52.8 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 948-882-102 (51.8 percent).

Wednesday’s Takes

Red Sox 1st 5 + 110 at Twins: The Twins are on a 5-game winning streak, so it’s a little hard to fade them; meanwhile, the Red Sox are on a 3-game skid. However, we’re going to trust Michael Wacha (9-1, 2.53 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) to keep Boston in this game early and the offense to do just enough to get to Minnesota’s Joe Ryan.

Rangers 1st 5 + 110 vs. Astros: Again, we’re counting on the starting pitcher – in this case, Martin Perez (10-4, 2.69 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) of the Rangers – to keep this close. Perez has been very good to us this summer, so we like our chances even though the Rangers have lost 3 straight just like the Red Sox. But this is why we only back the Rangers when they have Perez or Greg Otto on the mound.

Good luck today (and every day!).

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