Tuley's Takes Today 11/8: Tuesday Best Bet, updated NFL ATS stats, Monday recaps

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

November 8, 2022 06:10 AM
Flyers_celebrate

Monday was a wild sports betting day as we had a full 15-game NBA schedule and every Top 25 college basketball team in action as that season tipped off, plus the regularly scheduled Monday Night Football game.

Unfortunately, we lost our Best Bet with a 2-team, 6-point teaser on the Saints +8.5/Under 52.5 as the Under leg was never in doubt in the Ravens’ 27-13 victory, but the Saints weren’t able to keep up with the Ravens’ running attack. After every MNF game, I do a recap for VSiN with how the game went from a betting perspective, including my updated betting stats for the week and the season, which hit the halfway point with the completion of Week 9. See that HERE.

Let’s recap the rest of Monday’s betting action, and then look for more live dogs on Tuesday (though the NBA is taking the day off to encourage everyone to vote) along with our early NFL Week 10 plays as given out on my regular appearance on “The Greg Peterson Experience” (my segment is 12:15 a.m. ET/9:15 p.m. Sunday nights).

Monday’s Recaps

NFL: Ravens (1.5-point road favorites) beat Saints 27-13 on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 9 (game stayed Under betting total of 46 points). NFL favorites went 9-4 SU in Week 9, but underdogs led again at 7-4-2 ATS. Home teams went 7-6 SU and 7-4-2 ATS. Unders dominated again at 9-4 with primetime Unders going 2-1 in games on Thursday, Sunday and Monday night.

Even more NFL: Week 9 is the mid-point of the 18-week NFL season (and 136 of the 272 regular-season games have been played). Faves are 81-52-1 SU so far with 2 games closing pick-’em while underdogs still lead 74-54-6 ATS (57.8%). Home teams lead 73-59-1 SU with 3 neutral-site games, but road teams lead 65-62-6 ATS (51.2%). Unders improved to 79-55-2 (59%) while primetime Unders improved to 17-10-1 (63%).

NBA: Dogs went 9-6 SU & a whopping 13-2 ATS Monday; Hawks (5.5-point home dogs) beat Bucks 117-98 to snap their 8-game win streak; other upsets by Rockets (+5), Pacers (+5), Blazers (+5), Clippers (+3.5), Knicks (+2.5), Thunder (+2), Wizards (+2) & 76ers (+1.5). Home teams went 9-6 SU and ATS while Unders led 10-5.

More NBA: Faves dipped to 99-57 SU with 2 games closing pick-’em, but dogs improved to 82-67-7 ATS (55%). Home teams improved to 95-63 SU but lead just 78-73-7 ATS (51.7%). Unders took lead in totals wagers at 78-77-3 (51.4%).

CBB: All Top 25 teams were in action Monday and not a single one was upset.

NHL: Dogs went 2-1 Monday for the 2nd straight day with upsets by the Islanders (+110 vs. Flames) and Capitals (+145 vs. Oilers). Home teams swept 3-0 while Overs led 2-1. On the season, faves lead 107-82 with 6 games closing PK. Home teams 102-89 with 4 neutral-site games. Overs lead 100-92-3.

Tuesday’s Take

Flyers +110 vs. Blues: For those who follow my “streak” or “swagger/anti-swagger” plays from last year’s NHL/NBA season or MLB this past summer, I thought I was going to have one Monday after the Bruins had their 6-game win streak snapped; however, they were playing the Blues, who were on a 6-game losing streak of their own. I made the right call to pass as the Bruins went on to win 3-1. Well, now the Blues (3-7) have lost seven straight and are hosting the Flyers (6-3-2) on Tuesday, yet the Blues are -130 favorites? In addition, the Blues have lost all those games by at least 2 goals, so I have to fade them here.

MACtion: I really wanted to have a play for Tuesday like I did on Ball State last Tuesday, but I don’t like any of the dogs as it looks like a chalky week for once in the MAC.

NFL Week 10

Thursday; Panthers +8.5/Lions +8.5 (2-team, 6-point teaser): Both lines were 2.5 on Sunday night when I gave this out on “The Greg Peterson Experience” and both are up to 3, so you can mostly find Panthers +9/Lions +9.

Vikings +7.5 at Bills (everywhere): We hope anyone following these early plays grabbed this on Monday as most books have dropped the line to 6.5 (mostly on news that Josh Allen is questionable with an elbow injury). Personally, I would pass if I hadn’t gotten the better number as I wouldn’t risk giving up the key number of 7.

Chargers +7 at 49ers (Circa): Still pretty solid at 7 everywhere now.

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The Lombardi Line: Pay attention to the offseason moves in baseball, futures prices are changing. As teams build their roster through free agency and trades, monitor the futures markets.View more tips

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