Tuley's Takes on NFL Wild-Card Weekend

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 


In last week’s column, we wrote about how we've had a love/hate relationship with the last week of the NFL regular season here in the Tuley’s Takes home office.

But it was all love this past Sunday as our best bets here went 5-1 ATS as the Jaguars, Texans, Steelers, 49ers and Raiders all covered — with the Jaguars, Steelers, 49ers and Raiders all pulling outright upsets — and the only loss on the Falcons. My picks on the VSiN NFL Best Bets page went 5-0 as I left off the Falcons as my least favorite dog. Then, after it was determined that Aaron Rodgers and other Green Bay starters were going to play despite having the NFC No. 1 seed clinched and the line went to Packers -1, I added the Lions as a bonus best bet in “Tuley’s Takes Today” on VSiN.com.

So, that was a great way to end the regular season, but now we’re on to the NFL playoffs starting with Super Wild-Card Weekend, which now has six games instead of the previous four, including a Monday nighter.

The playoffs are a different animal and we have to approach it a little differently. We’re still looking for value with our dog-or-pass approach, but we don’t have the benefit of lines being overinflated as much as we see in the regular season between the haves and have-nots as the teams are more evenly matched and we should see a higher quality of play. Regardless, the key is to put yourself on the right side as much as possible.

Let’s go over this weekend’s card. I’ll give my take on each game and offer my best bet. Postseason contests where you have to pick every game aren’t as common as in the regular season, but I’ve received a few invitations already, so if I really don’t want to recommend a “best bet,” I’ll offer a pool play like I do in the regular season, Otherwise, my leans should be pretty obvious.

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