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Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 3

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We’re happy to report that parity is alive and well in the NFL this season. It was disappointing to end Week 2 with the Lions’ non-cover on “Monday Night Football,” especially after they actually led the Packers 17-14 at halftime and underdogs bettors were getting between + 10.5 and + 12 points ...

 

We interrupt this “Tuley’s Takes” column to remind you to check out the new “Tuley’s Takes Today” every morning at VSiN.com. It’s an extension of this column but on a daily basis so we can update our picks as the lines move during the week and also make MLB plays that aren’t possible with the previous once-a-week-only model. We went 4-2 ATS with our college football picks on Saturday and 5-2 ATS with the NFL on Sunday (plus the Chiefs-Ravens Over), plus some underdog baseball winners along the way, including the Cardinals around + 175 vs. the Brewers on Monday night. So please bookmark https://www.vsin.com/news/dave-tuley-columns/ and check it every day or follow the link in the free VSiN newsletter, which I assume you receive every day as a VSiN all-access subscriber. And now back to our regularly scheduled column, already in progress ...

 

... and yada, yada, yada, I’m really tired today.”

 

Anyway, let’s get to the NFL Week 3 card. Since I’m known as a dog-or-pass bettor, I’ll list whether I have a Best Bet or if I’m passing. Either way, I’ll also post my “pool play” to give my level of confidence for those in all kinds of contests, some of which require a pick in every game.

 

Carolina Panthers (-7.5) at Houston Texans

I was excited to see Sam Darnold move from New York to Carolina and team up with running back Christian McCaffrey and wide receivers DJ Moore and Robby Anderson. After a 2-0 start, including an upset of the Saints, it appears everyone else is jumping on the bandwagon. The advance line on this game before the season was just Panthers -4, but it was posted as -7 on Sunday and is now over the key number at -7.5. I would usually be all over the prime-time home underdog getting more than a TD, but I don’t see the Houston defense slowing down Darnold & Co. and I’m not ready to back the Texans with Davis Mills at QB. Note that prime-time Overs are 6-0 to start the season and this game has a total of only 43.5. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Panthers 55/45 in ATS contests and closer to 80/20 in SU pools).

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