We’re still giddy over NFL Week 1 here in the Tuley’s Takes home office. Of course, that should come as no surprise to anyone since underdogs went 12-4 ATS with nine outright upsets.
As I wrote in my new daily “Tuley’s Takes Today” column at VSiN.com (be sure to check it out and pass it on to your friends and family, as it’s available with no subscription required, though obviously we’re hoping everyone who wants all-day, comprehensive coverage of all things sports betting will join Team VSiN), I coulda, shoulda had an even better weekend than I did as I landed on two of the losing dogs, Colts and Bears, and didn’t bet all the other live dogs. However, I did two weekly pools, clinching one before the Sunday night game even kicked off with so many upsets.
I went 3-2 on the VSiN NFL Best Bets page and in my major contests and only 3-3 ATS in this column. However, I had to take a loss on the Lions + 7.5 in their 41-33 loss to the 49ers even though I was able to re-bet at + 8.5 and + 9 over the weekend. That’s bittersweet consolation, but I’m happy to have the cash.
We have several obstacles heading into Week 2. I know I won’t be the only one to mention this at VSiN this week, but we have to avoid overreacting to what we saw in Week 1. In fact, VSiN colleagues Matt Youmans and Jonathan Von Tobel were the first to make this point on the “Opening Lines” show Sunday night. The other obstacle is overconfidence, but I’ve been at this long enough to know this game will humble you before you have a chance to withdraw your winnings, so we’ll just keep doing what we do.
With that in mind, let’s go over the NFL Week 2 card. Since I’m known as a dog-or-pass bettor, I’ll list whether I have a Best Bet or if I’m passing. Either way, I’ll also post my “pool play” to give my level of confidence for those in all kinds of contests, some in which you have to make a pick in every game. In games that I didn’t have a Best Bet in Week 1, I went 6-3-1 (push was on Panthers -5, so that would be 7-3 in contests with a lower spread) and that’s what helped me win my pools. Hopefully it helped others fare well in theirs as we’re all in this together.
New York Giants at Washington Football Team (-3)
Let me first say I’m a longtime fan of FitzMagic, but I think Washington has a better offense with Taylor Heinicke taking over while Ryan Fitzpatrick recovers from his hip injury. I know a team is never as bad as it looks in defeat, but the Giants are still pretty bad, and I believe the Football Team is the right side in the Thursday night Week 2 opener. Having said that, I wrote in Tuesday’s “Tuley’s Takes Today” that I already bet Washington -3 and the Giants + 3.5 in hopes of landing a side, when you win one bet and push the other while basically just risking the vig. I picked Washington on the VSiN NFL Best Bets page, but I can make up the rules here, so ... Best Bet: Washington -3 and Giants + 3.5 (pool play: Washington about 55/45 in ATS contests and closer to 70/30 in SU pools).