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Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 1 card


I’m guessing most of you felt similarly, but last Saturday was like Christmas morning in the Tuley’s Takes home office with wall-to-wall college football on top of a full stale of MLB and some other stocking stuffers like tennis, golf, horse racing and UFC added to the fun.

I don’t think I’ll have the words to describe how I’ll feel Sunday when the NFL season kicks off. In keeping with the above analogy, I guess the stocking stuffer (or the better equivalent would be if your parents let you open one present on Christmas Eve) is the Cowboys at the Buccaneers in the traditional Thursday night opener.

Our purpose here is to give readers a weekly overview of the NFL card as I give my take on every game. I’m a self-proclaimed “dog-or-pass” bettor, but I’ll often state the case for both sides. In fact, I have many readers who bet more favorites than I do and say that the fact I can’t make a strong case for the dog is actually an endorsement to bet the chalk. I’m here to help in any way I can, whether you’re trying to whittle down your plays to a few best bets each week or if you’re in an office pool or contest where you have to pick every game. Along those lines, even if I don’t have a strong opinion on a game, I list my “pool play” that breaks down how I’m planning to play the game across my many SU & ATS contests.

In addition, my five Best Bets appear elsewhere in each issue of Point Spread Weekly along with consensus picks, which also include some Over/Unders (and as I wrote last week, my college football plays also appear weekly in PSW).

There’s one more thing I want to mention before we get started. I’ve written in a few columns over the summer how I posted my NFL Week 1 picks back in May — Buccaneers -6.5 vs. the Cowboys (up to -8 at several sportsbooks), Jaguars -2.5 at Texans (up to -3), Lions + 7.5 vs. 49ers (holding steady at + 7.5) and Raiders + 5.5 vs. Ravens (down to + 4) — but when I’m going over the games each week here, I’m basing my picks on the current lines we’re seeing for our bets and contests.

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