It’s been a strange start to the week in the Tuley’s Takes home office. The Stanley Cup wrapped up early last week and the NBA is taking its sweet time between games in the NBA Finals. That left us with MLB, which then went on it’s All-Star break. We were left betting the Home Run Derby and some All-Star Game props, but mostly we’ve been spending our time looking ahead to the second half of the baseball season.
We posted our 2021 MLB betting preview in Point Spread Weekly on March 3 and then an update on March 31, so this is a good time to see what we got right and wrong and what we can learn for the second half.
Underdogs started the season so strong that I kept posting the faves vs. dogs record in my nightly betting recaps on Twitter @ViewFromVegas and in the VSiN morning newsletters even after faves went well above .500. I wanted to show that the win percentage was still lower than usual as chalk usually hits around 57%-59%. Well, faves continued to stay hot as the temperatures rose and entered the All-Star break right back on track at 768-539 (58.8%) with 38 games closing pick-’em (which accounts for any differences you see for similar records on other sites). Of course, no one should be betting blindly one way or the other, but it shows again that the betting markets are usually pretty good at correcting themselves.