Tuley's Takes on MLB, NBA, NFL Week 5

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 


Are we having fun yet? We sure are in the Tuley’s Takes home office. During those boring, quarantined months in the spring and summer, we were promised it would all be worth it in the fall with an overflowing cornucopia of sporting events. And it has all come true.

The football season has been exciting, though I’m a little disappointed. I’ve mostly been trading money, going 3-5 ATS in the NFL last weekend to drop to 15-15 ATS in this column, though I went 4-0-1 with Over/Unders and 7-2-1 overall on the VSiN Consensus page to improve to 22-17-1. However, I’ve done a poor job of narrowing my Best Bets. They’re 9-11 on the VSiN NFL Best Bets page and in most of my Vegas handicapping contests, though I do have one entry at 11-9. But the great thing about the SuperContest and Circa Sports Million is both have quarterly prizes. The next one starts this week for NFL Weeks 5-8, so we’re alive, baby!

Anyway, before we get to this week’s NFL card, let’s look at the continuing MLB playoffs and the NBA Finals.




The wild-card round proved profitable for me and hopefully our readers. I totally missed on the Reds, who didn’t even score a run in getting swept by the Braves, but more than made up for it with wins on the Marlins + 155 and + 180 in their sweep of the Cubs.

I believe the Marlins are similarly undervalued in their NLDS vs. the Braves and took them + 185 in Tuesday’s Game 1. That lost 9-5 after the Marlins were leading into the seventh inning, but I’ll still take the Marlins at + 150 or better in any other game of the five-game series.

As for the other NL series, I wrote last week that I bet the Padres -190 in their wild-card series against the Cardinals and would roll over my winnings to each subsequent series to try to get a bigger payoff than the previously posted 4-1 odds to win the NL pennant. So I took my $290 and put it on the Padres + 250 to win the NLDS vs. the Dodgers (it will return $1,105 if they pull it off).

In the ALDS, I’m kicking myself for not backing the Astros vs. the Twins or in Game 1 vs. the A’s. The Yankees-Rays still looks like a toss-up, but the way the Bronx Bombers are hitting, the Over seems the only way to go.




As I wrote last week, I took the Heat plus the points in the first three games of the Finals. And though they went 1-2 SU, we were 2-1 ATS after they covered in Friday’s 124-114 loss as 10.5-point underdogs and then won outright as 9.5-point dogs in Sunday’s 115-104 upset. I took the Heat + 8 in Tuesday night’s Game 4 and plan to do so for the rest of the series, as I predicted they would have a winning ATS record even if they don’t win the title.



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