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Tuley's (Early) Takes on the Super Bowl

February 5, 2022 08:09 PM
USATSI_14350093

This has been a great week so far in the Tuley’s Takes home office, starting with a sweep of our best bets in the NFL conference championships. The Bengals (+ 7) upset the Chiefs 27-24 in overtime and the 49ers (+ 3.5) covered in a 20-17 loss to the Rams.

Back in the old days of Super Bowl betting (which was, frankly, just a few short years ago), I would normally write about something else during the bye week and wait to post my official Super Bowl pick and prop bets during the week leading up to the game. In the 1990s and early 2000s, the Imperial Palace on the Las Vegas Strip was known for having the “most props on the planet.” Then, in 2004, sportsbook director Jay Kornegay and his crew moved over to the Las Vegas Hilton, which was then renamed the Las Vegas Hotel and now Westgate. It became standard operating procedure that oddsmakers would wait around for Kornegay’s book to post its prop packet (20 pages printed on both sides of legal-sized paper) on Thursday night. The rest of the books would then release their prop sheets, and shopping around for the best numbers would be in full swing on game week.

Nowadays, with the proliferation of legalized sports betting across the country and mainstream media’s thirst for gambling content, prop bets and odds are widely available much earlier, so we decided we would just go ahead and give our approach to betting the Super Bowl this week. Next week in Point Spread Weekly, we’ll update with more bets (especially for props that don’t have exact prices posted yet).

Side and total

The Rams opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Bengals at Westgate and several other books, with other shops opting for Rams -4. Early money came in on the Rams, and the line went to a consensus -4.5 on Monday and was still sitting there as of this writing Tuesday morning.

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