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Tuesday Sharp Action Report for Providence-UConn, Missouri-Georgia and Xavier-St. John's

February 15, 2021 11:48 PM

Today, we have a loaded betting menu filled with roughly 20 college basketball games, 6 NBA games and 6 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:45 p.m. ET to offer a market update. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET.

Until then, let's take a look at a few college hoops games tonight receiving notable sharp action...

6:30 p.m. ET: Providence at Connecticut

This Big East showdown features two teams looking to build on recent wins. Providence (11-10 SU, 10-11 ATS) has won two straight and just took down DePaul 57-47, easily covering as 2.5-point road favorites. On the flip side, Connecticut (9-5 SU, 10-4 ATS) just posted a huge upset win over Xavier 80-72, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Connecticut listed as a 6-point home favorite. The public is split and doesn't know whether to take the points or lay them. However, pros seem to be grabbing Providence plus the points and we've seen this line fall from 6 to 5.5. Providence has value as a short road conference dog with a line move in their favor. Ken Pom has this game right on the number, projecting a UConn 6-point win. These teams just met 5-days ago and Providence beat UConn 70-59, winning outright as 2.5-point home dogs. 

6:30 p.m. ET: Missouri at Georgia

Both of these SEC rivals have dropped two straight games and are looking to get back on track. Missouri (13-5 SU, 10-8 ATS, ranked 20th) just fell to Arkansas 86-81, losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Georgia (12-8 SU, 10-9 ATS) just got waxed by Alabama 115-82, failing to cover as 13-point road dogs. This line opened with Missouri listed as a 4.5-point road favorite. This public is all over ranked Missouri, yet we've seen this line fall to 3.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on Georgia, with respected money grabbing the points. The Bulldogs have buy-low value as a contrarian unranked home conference dog vs a ranked opponent. Ken Pom has Mizzou winning this game by 3 points, which means Georgia plus the hook (+ 3.5) or better had actionable value. Pros also seem to be leaning under as we've seen this high total dip from 154.5 to 153.5. 

8:30 p.m. ET: Xavier at St. John's

Both of these Big East opponents just suffered tough losses that snapped prolonged winning streaks. Xavier (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS) returned from a 2-week COVID layoff on Saturday and fell to UConn 80-72, losing outright as 3.5-point home favorites. Similarly, St. John's (18-8 SU, 12-9 ATS) just had their six game win streak snapped when they lost to Butler 76-73, losing as 1-point road dogs. This line opened with St. John's listed as a short 2.5-point home favorite. The public doesn't know who to take, yet we've seen this line fall from 2.5 to 2. This signals respected money grabbing Xavier and the points. Xavier has value as a short road conference dog. Ken Pom has St. John's winning by one point, which provides actionable value to Xavier at the current number. Ken Pom has Xavier ranked 52nd in the country and St. John's 66th. Pros also seem to be expecting a higher scoring game as the over has been pounded and bet up from 152.5 to 155. 

More Tuesday movement

Iowa State + 12 to + 11.5 at Oklahoma State

Iowa State-Oklahoma State Over 143.5 to 145

Michigan State + 6.5 to + 5.5 at Purdue

Temple + 4.5 to + 3.5 at Tulsa

Bowling Green + 1 to -1.5 at Ball State

Arkansas -3.5 to -5 vs Florida

Nebraska-Maryland Over 134.5 to 135.5

Loyola Marymount -1.5 to -3 at Santa Clara

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