Tuesday NBA Playoffs Sharp Report

pelicans

Bettors have a loaded Tuesday slate to choose from today, including 3 NBA playoff games, 15 MLB games and 13 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for tonight's NBA playoff action...

 

7 p.m. ET: Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat

This is Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round. The Heat lead the series 3-1 after securing a 110-86 win in Game 4, easily covering as 1-point road favorites. Now the series shifts backs to Miami where the Heat can eliminate the Hawks with a victory tonight. This line opened with Miami listed as a 7-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with the Heat. This lopsided support has pushed Miami up to -7.5 at some shops. We've seen some buyback on Atlanta +7.5, dropping some shops back down to 7. Heat point guard Kyle Lowry will miss this game with a hamstring injury. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 218 to 217.5. Unders are 26-14 (65%) this postseason. Unders that fall at least a half point are 15-9 (63%). The under is a perfect 4-0 this series. Leading 3-1, the Heat are -10000 favorites to win the series. The Hawks are +1600 longshots. 

 

7:30 p.m. ET: Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies

This series is tied 2-2. The Timberwolves are coming off a 119-118 victory in Game 4, winning outright as 2.5-point home dogs. Now the series shifts back to Memphis. This Game 5 line opened with the Grizzlies listed as a 7-point home favorite. The public is relatively split and doesn't know whether to take the points or lay them. However, we've seen this line fall from 7 to 6. This signals respected money grabbing the Timberwolves as a road dog. The total hasn't budged off the opener of 232.5. The over/under is 2-2 this series. High totals of 225 or more are 9-3 (75%) to the under this postseason. With the series tied 2-2, the Grizzlies are -350 favorites to advance. The Timberwolves are +260 dogs.

 

10 p.m. ET: New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns

This series is tied 2-2. The Pelicans just crushed the Suns 118-103 in Game 4, easily winning outright as 2-point home dogs. Now the series shifts back to Phoenix. This pivotal Game 5 line opened with the Suns listed as 7-point home favorite. We've seen this line fall from 7 to 6.5, signaling pro money grabbing the points with the road dog Pelicans. Once again, the Suns will miss star guard Devin Booker with a hamstring injury. Sharps have also leaned under, dropping the total from 216 to 215.5. The over is 3-1 this series. With the series tied 2-2, Phoenix is now a -275 favorite to advance. New Orleans is +220.

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