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Tuesday NBA Playoffs Sharp Report

celtics

Today bettors have a loaded Tuesday slate to choose from including two NBA playoff games, 4 NHL playoff games and 16 MLB games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for tonight's NBA playoff doubleheader...

 

7 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics

This is Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The Bucks lead 1-0 after stealing the series opener 101-89, winning outright as a 5-point road dog. In tonight's rematch, the Celtics opened as a 4-point home favorite. The public is happy to grab the Bucks plus the points, who looked like the far better team in Game 1. However, despite a majority of bets backing trendy dog Milwaukee, we've seen Boston move from -4 to -4.5. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the home team, with wiseguys fading the trendy dog and laying the points with the contrarian favorite Celtics in a bounce-back spot. Playoff favorites are 31-22 ATS (59%) this postseason. We've also seen a slight wiseguy lean to the over, with some books rising from 215 to 215.5. Leading 1-0, the Bucks are -125 favorites to win the series. The Celtics are +105 dogs. Boston entered the series as a -200 favorite. 

 

9:30 p.m. ET: Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies

This is Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Warriors lead 1-0 after taking the opener 117-116, although Golden State failed to cover as 2.5-point road favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Warriors opened as a 2-point road favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the short chalk price with the Warriors. However, despite this lopsided betting the line hasn't budged off 2. In fact, it has even dipped to 1.5 briefly at some shops. Reading between the lines, all sharp movement and liability appears to be on home dog Memphis plus the points in the form of a line freeze and reverse line movement. We could be looking at another high scoring game here, as the total has been steamed up from 226 to 227.5. Leading 1-0, the Warriors are -450 favorites to win the series. The Grizzlies are +350 dogs. 

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