Tuesday MLB Sharp Report

astros

Bettors have a loaded Tuesday slate to choose from today, including a pair of NBA playoff play-in games, 15 MLB games and 14 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's dive into a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action tonight...

 

1:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (1-3) at Detroit Tigers (2-2)

The Tigers took Monday's series opener 3-1, cashing as 115 home dogs. In this afternoon's rematch, Boston hands the ball to veteran lefty Rich Hill (7-8, 3.86 ERA in 2021) and Detroit counters with fellow lefty Tyler Alexander (2-4, 3.81 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -130 road favorite and the Tigers a +110 home dog. The public is hammering Boston to bounce back with a win. But wiseguys have grabbed Detroit at another plus money payout, dropping the Tigers from +110 to +105. Detroit has value as a home dog with a high total. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game here. The total opened at 9.5 with the under juiced to -120. We've seen a few shops drop to 9. This signals pro money on the under. The forecast calls for low 60s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from dead center. 

 

4:10 p.m. ET: Cleveland Guardians (2-2) at Cincinnati Reds (2-2)

Both of these Interleague foes just earned a split in their opening season series. The Guardians have ripped off two wins against the Royals after dropping the first two games, most recently earning a 10-7 victory yesterday as -115 road favorites. Meanwhile, the Reds are coming off a 6-3 win over the Braves, cashing as hefty +160 road dogs. In this afternoon's series opener, Cleveland sends out ace righty Shane Bieber (0-0, 1.93 ERA in 2022) while Cincinnati answers with veteran righty Tyler Mahle (1-0, 0.00 ERA). This line opened with the Reds listed as a short -120 home favorite and the Guardians a +110 road dog. Pros have hammered the Guardians, flipping Cleveland from a +110 road dog into a  -115 road favorite. Essentially, Cleveland is receiving sharp "dog to favorite" line movement. The total opened at 8.5 and several shops are juiced up -120 to the under, signaling under liability and a possible fall to 8. The forecast calls for high 60s with 6-10 MPH winds blowing in from right center. 

 

9:40 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (3-1) at Arizona Diamondbacks (1-3)

These Interleague opponents have gotten off to polar opposite starts this season. The Astros just took three of four from the Angels, including a 4-1 win their last time out as -115 road favorites. On the flip side, the Diamondbacks just dropped three of four to the Padres, most recently losing 10-5 as +140 home dogs. In tonight's series opener, Houston hands the ball to Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30 ERA in 2021) while Arizona counters with veteran lefty Madison Bumgarner (0-0, 3.00 ERA in 2022). This line opened with Houston listed as a -120 road favorite and Arizona a  100 home dog. Pros have pounced on Houston as the short opening price, steaming the Astros up from -120 to -145. The Astros have value as an Interleague favorite with a line move in their favor. The total opened at 9.5 and the under is juiced to -120, signaling under liability and a possible fall down to 9. The forecast calls for cooler temperatures in the high 60s with winds blowing in at 10-15 MPH hour at Chase Field. 

back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

The Lombardi Line: Bookmakers love parleys, when playing them, you want a mix of favorites and underdogs.

Pro Football Blitz: When you back teams on the raod you want a good running team, when you back teams at home you want a good passing team. With teams on the road usually the underdog, you want a team that can control time of possession like the Tennessee Titans.

 

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Shaun King: Eagles -6.5 vs Jaguars

Brendan Gaughan: Brad Keselowski Top 3 +600

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-09-30_at_6.23.35_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

Close