Tuesday MLB Sharp Report

mcclanahn

For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action tonight...

 

2:20 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (40-57) at Chicago Cubs (39-57)

The Cubs took Monday night's NL Central series opener 3-2, cashing as -145 home favorites. Chicago have now won five straight games. In this afternoon's rematch, Pittsburgh hands the ball to righty Bryse Wilson (1-5, 6.52 ERA) and Chicago counters with fellow righty Keegan Thompson (7-4, 3.43 ERA). This line opened with the Cubs listed as a -155 home favorite and the Pirates a 140 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and have steamed Chicago up from -155 to -180. Chicago holds a distinct advantage at the plate, hitting .245 compared to .221 for Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 30-50 as a dog, 24-36 against righties and just 19-32 on the road. Chicago is -67 in run differential. Pittsburgh is -142.

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (52-44) at Baltimore Orioles (48-48)

The Orioles stole last night's series opener 5-1, cashing as +100 home dogs. In tonight's AL East division rematch, Tampa Bay turns to ace lefty Shane McClanahan (10-3, 1.71 ERA) and Baltimore taps right Spenser Watkins (3-1, 3.93 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a -175 road favorite and the Orioles a +160 home dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed Tampa Bay up from -175 to -195. Road favorites are 320-206 (61%) this season. Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs last season are 187-97 (66%). The Rays also have value as a favorite in a low total game (8). We could be looking at a lower scoring game, as the under 8 is juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop to 7.5. McClanahan has a 1.40 ERA in three July starts.

 

10:10 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (43-52) at Seattle Mariners (52-45)

The Mariners took care of business in Monday night's series opener, winning 4-3 as -150  home favorites. In tonight's AL West rematch, Texas starts righty Dane Dunning (1-6, 4.42 ERA) and Seattle trots out fellow righty George Kirby (2-3, 3.78 ERA). This line opened with the Mariners listed as a -145 home favorite and the Rangers a +130 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Seattle, steaming the Mariners up from -145 to -155. Seattle is 26-12 as a favorite, 25-23 at home and 43-31 against righties. Texas is 26-28 as a dog, 22-25 on the road and 26-37 against righties. The Mariners lead the season series 9-2. Dunning has an 8.22 ERA in two July starts. Texas is just 1-12 in Dunning's last 13 starts overall. On the flip side, Kirby has a 2.38 ERA in two July starts and Seattle is 6-2 in Kirby's last eight starts.

 

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PRO TOOLS

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

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PRO TIPS

The Greg Peterson Experience: In NBA and college hoops, place more value on teams that emphasize low post defense. It travels much better than shooting. View more tips

Live Bet Tonight: In games with favorites laying 3 points or fewer, check out laying the price on the moneyline and avoid losing by a few points. View more tips

PRO PICKS

Jason Weingarten: Rams +6 vs. Raiders. View more picks

Josh Appelbaum: Army/Navy Under 33 (-110). View more picks

 

 

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