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Tuesday MLB Sharp Report

Today we have a loaded slate of 15 MLB games to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
In the meantime, the MLB season is entering the homestretch with only about 11-games left in the regular season. Let's discuss where the action is flowing for several MLB games tonight...
6:10 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals (69-82) at Cleveland Indians (73-76)
Both of these AL Central rivals are out of the playoff picture and playing for pride the rest of the way. The Royals have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 7-2 as 145 road dogs and then winning against last night 4-2 as 120 road dogs. In tonight's rematch, Kansas City hands the ball to lefty Daniel Lynch (4-5, 5.34 ERA) and Cleveland counters with righty Cal Quantrill (6-3, 2.89 ERA). This line opened with the Indians listed as a short -130 home favorite and the Royals a 120 road dog. Sharps have pounced on the Indians to bounce back, steaming Cleveland up from -130 to -140. Home favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 380-242 (61.1%) this season. Cleveland is 38-23 as a favorite this season. Kansas City is 46-60 as a dog. The Indians have gone 11-3 against the Royals this season. We could also see some runs in this one. The total opened at 9 and it's being juiced up over -120, with some shops inching to 9.5. This indicates some respected over money. The forecast calls for mid 70s with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center, 
7:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (84-66) at Tampa Bay Rays (93-58)
If the playoffs started today, both of these AL East rivals would be in the postseason. Toronto currently occupies the 2nd AL Wild Card spot while Tampa Bay leads atop the division by 7-games. The Rays took last night's series opener 6-4, winning as  115 home underdogs. In tonight's rematch, Toronto sends out righty Alek Manoah (6-2, 3.39 ERA) and Tampa Bay starts fellow righty Drew Rasmussen (3-0, 2.57 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a short -110 home favorite and the Jays a 100 road dog. The public doesn't know who to back, but pros seem to be meaning on the Rays once again, driving Tampa Bay up from -110 to -115. Short home favorites -130 or less are 245-185 (57%) this season, producing a roughly 6% ROI. Tampa Bay is 41-19 as a home favorite. The Rays are 10-7 against the Jays this season. 
7:10 p.m. ET: New York Mets (73-77) at Boston Red Sox (86-65)
This Interleague showdown is crucial for both ballclubs. The Mets need to get hot fast in order to steal a Wild Card spot, trailing the second position by 6-games. Meanwhile, the Red Sox currently occupy the top Wild Card spot in the AL, but need to keep winning with the Jays, Yankees, A's and Mariners all just 3-games back or less of Boston. In tonight's opener, New York taps righty Marcus Stroman (9-12, 2.88 ERA) and Boston rebuttals with lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (11-8, 5.00 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -155  home favorite and the Mets a 140 road dog. The public is laying the chalk with the Sox at Fenway, yet we've seen Boston fall from -155 to -140. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the road dog Mets at a decent plus money payout (140 to 120). Teams coming off a win receiving at least 15-cents of steam are 257-172 ATS (60%) this season. New York also has value as a road dog with a high total. The total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115, indicating some possible wiseguy under money. 
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