Elite 8 dogs and favorites split 1-1 ATS on Monday, with Oregon State (+ 8) losing 67-61 but covering against Houston and Baylor (-7.5) beating and covering against Arkansas 81-72. We also saw over/unders go 1-1. Today we have two more Elite 8 matchups to get down on. Here are the updated futures odds to cut down the nets at BetMGM.
Gonzaga + 125
Baylor + 300
Houston + 500
Michigan + 600
USC + 1400
UCLA + 2500
We also have updated odds on the NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player
Kispert + 400
Suggs + 500
Timme + 600
Butler + 600
Ayayi + 800
Grimes + 800
Teague + 1000
Mitchell + 1200
Dickinson + 1600
Wagner + 2000
Brooks + 2500
Juzang + 3000
Mobley + 3000
Campbell + 5000
In the meantime, let's dive into how the money is flowing for tonight's two Elite 8 matchups...
7:15 p.m. ET: USC vs Gonzaga
This West Region showdown features 6-seed USC (25-7) against 1-seed Gonzaga (29-0). USC has won and covered in every NCAA Tournament game, beating 11-seed Drake 72-56, 3-seed Kansas 85-51 and 7-seed Oregon 82-68. Now they face undefeated Gonzaga, who has also won and covered every Madness game to this point, beating 16-seed Norfolk State 98-55, 8-seed Oklahoma 87-71 and 5-seed Creighton 83-65. This line opened with Gonzaga listed as a 9-point favorite. The public is once again rushing to the window to lay the points with Gonzaga. However, despite this lopsided support we've seen the line remain frozen at 9 or even dip to 8.5 at some shops. This signals sharp liability and reverse line movement on USC, with pros grabbing the points not laying them. Ken Pom has Gonzaga winning by 7 points, which provides actionable value on USC at the current number. We've also seen sharp money hit this under, dropping the total from 155 to 153. March Madness unders are 35-24 (59%). When the total is 140 or higher, Madness unders are 16-9 (64%) this NCAA Tournament.
9:57 p.m. ET: UCLA vs Michigan
This East Region matchup pits 11-seed UCLA (21-9) against 1-seed Michigan (23-4). UCLA is the only team to be 4-0 in the NCAA Tournament, beating 11-seed Michigan State 86-80 in the first four game, then taking down 6-seed BYU 73-62, 14-seed Abilene Christian 67-47 and upsetting 2-seed Alabama 88-78. Meanwhile, Michigan has crushed 16-seed Texas Southern 82-66, 8-seed LSU 86-78 and 4-seed Florida State 76-58. This line opened with Michigan listed as a 7.5-point favorite. Sharps have gotten down hard on UCLA, dropping this line from 7.5 to 6.5. Madness dogs in which the line stays the same or moves in their favor are 19-12 (61%) this NCAA Tournament. Ken Pom has Michigan winning by five points, which provides actionable value on UCLA plus the points. Respected money has also hit this under, dropping the total from 137 to 135.5. Unders in which the line stays the same or falls are 25-16 (61%) this NCAA Tournament.