Tuesday College Basketball Sharp Report


Today bettors have a loaded Tuesday slate to choose from including 7 NBA games, 9 NHL games and 30 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:40 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss a pair of college basketball games receiving sharp action today...
8 p.m. ET: Villanova at Providence
This Big East grudge match features the top two teams in the conference facing off. Villanova (19-6 SU, 13-11-1 ATS) is ranked 10th, has won three straight and just edged Seton Hall 73-67, failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. Similarly, Providence (21-2 SU, 14-9 ATS) is ranked 8th, has won eight straight and just took down DePaul 76-73, failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. This line opened with Villanova listed as a 4.5-point road favorite. Sharp money has grabbed the home dog Friars plus the points, dropping the line from 4.5 to 4 at some shops. Providence is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. Ken Pom has Villanova winning by three points (66-63), which means Providence at the current number holds actionable value. 
9 p.m. ET: Wisconsin at Indiana
Both of these Big Ten rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. Wisconsin (19-5 SU, 13-11 ATS) is ranked 15th but just fell to Rutgers 73-65, losing outright as 8-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Indiana (16-8 SU, 13-11 ATS) is unranked and has lost three straight, most recently falling to Michigan State 76-61, failing to cover as 4-point road dogs. This line opened with Indiana listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're rushing to grab the points with trendy dog Wisconsin. However, we've seen this line move further to Indiana (-2.5 to -3 or even -3.5 at some shops), signaling sharp money fading the trendy dog and backing the contrarian home favorite. Indiana has fishy buy-low value as an unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Indiana holds the edge in shooting (46% vs 42%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 35 RPG). Indiana is 13-2 at home this season. Ken Pom has Indiana winning by three points (67-64). We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 130 to 132. 
9 p.m. ET: Kentucky at Tennessee
This SEC clash between ranked teams is the most heavily bet late game of the night. Kentucky (21-4 SU, 12-13 ATS) is ranked 4th overall, has won six straight and just waxed Florida 78-57, easily covering as 10-point home favorites. On the flip side, Tennessee (18-6 SU, 14-10 ATS) is ranked 16h, has won four straight and just beat Vanderbilt 73-64, failing to cover as 10.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Tennessee listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Right off the bat, the opening line speaks volumes. If Kentucky is the far superior team, why aren't they favored? The public is all over Kentucky getting a point as the higher ranked team. However, this line has remained frozen at 1 and even briefly touched 1.5 at some books. This signals liability on the side of Tennessee at home. Tennessee is a perfect 13-0 at home this season. This is also a revenge spot for the Vols, who lost to Kentucky 107-79 on January 15. Ken Pom has Kentucky winning by one point (71-70). 
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