Trends for this week's CFB, NFL games

By Bruce Marshall  () 

COLLEGE

 

LOUISIANA TECH at BYU

Skip Holtz wins again as dog in opener, now 20-8-1 in role with Louisiana Tech since arriving in 2014. Holtz 17-6-1 as dog away from Ruston in that span. Cougars just 2-4 as Provo chalk in 2019. Tech edge: Louisiana Tech, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI

USF has covered last five in series, though no SU wins vs. Cincy since 2017. Bulls only 1-4 last five as dogs away from Raymond James Stadium (0-1 for Jeff Scott). Bearcats 8-5 as Nippert chalk since 2018. Tech edge: Slight to USF, based on series trends. 

SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA

Gamecocks 1-5-1 vs. line since mid-2019, also failed to cover last three as dogs in 2019. Will Muschamp covered vs. Gators in 2017-18 but lost 38-27 last year. Dan Mullen has covered seven in a row at the Swamp. Tech edge: Florida, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at GEORGIA STATE

GSU has covered five of last six at home after 3-8-1 spread mark previous 12 as host. Panthers 3-2 as chalk in 2019. ECU was 7-20-1 as dog in 2016-18 but improved slightly to 5-4 in role for Mike Houston last year. Tech edge: Slight to GSU, based on team trends. 

NORTH CAROLINA at BOSTON COLLEGE

Jeff Hafley now 1-0 as dog for BC after Steve Addazio’s success of 14-3-1 in role in regular season last three years. Mack Brown has won and covered last four since late 2019, and Heels actually 18-10-1 vs. line going back to mid-2018. Teams have not met since 2013. Tech edge: BC, based on team trends. 

VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE

David Cutcliffe 0-3 SU but 1-0 as dog in 2020, and was 25-12-1 in dog role from 2013-18 before slipping a bit a year ago (2-4-1). Underdog has covered (sometimes emphatically) six of last seven meetings. Tech edge: Duke, based on team and series trends. 

MISSOURI at TENNESSEE

Mizzou beat UT in 2017 and ’18 by identical 50-17 scores! But Tigers 0-7 vs. line down stretch in 2019 before back-door cover vs. Alabama in opener. From mid-2019, Vols 6-2 last eight vs. line and 6-0 SU last six. Jeremy Pruitt has covered only two of last eight as chalk. Tech edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends. 

BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA

Baylor has covered last seven Big 12 games away from Waco, including under departed Matt Rhule. WVU has covered last two in series, though Mounties were only 1-4-1 vs. spread as hosts in 2019. Tech edge: Baylor, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at CLEMSON

Rematch of 2019 ACC title game won and covered by Clemson 62-17. Bronco Mendenhall still 8-3 as dog last two seasons. But Dabo Swinney has now covered last seven as ACC host. Tech edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Swinney trends. 

NC STATE at PITTSBURGH

After loss at Virginia Tech, Wolfpack has sagged to 2-11 vs. line in last 13 games on the board since early 2019, which includes six straight spread losses away from Raleigh. Tech edge: Pitt, based on recent NCS woes. 

OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE

Lincoln Riley has not covered in three tries vs. ISU since taking over Sooners in 2017. Matt Campbell has covered last four vs. OU, including rousing 38-31 upset in 2017. Cyclones were on 0-5 spread skid into TCU game, though Campbell 18-9-1 as dog since arriving at ISU. Tech edge: ISU, based on series and team trends. 

MEMPHIS at SMU

Memphis has won last six SU in series and had covered five in a row by average of 35 before narrow non-cover in 2019. SMU covered all three chances as dog for Sonny Dykes last year. Tech edge: Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.

TULSA at UCF

Tulsa 7-3 last 10 as dog after cover at Oklahoma State. Included was 34-31 upset win over UCF in 2019. Golden Hurricane also 7-1 last eight vs. line away. Golden Knights 9-5 vs. spread at Orlando since 2018 (3-3 last year), haven’t had many revenge chances last couple of years. Tech edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends. 

ARKANSAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA

Red Wolves only 4-5 vs. number last nine as Sun Belt road chalk. Chanticleers 6-4 as dogs for Jamey Chadwell since 2019, including cover in near-upset of Arkansas State last year. Tech edge: Slight to Coastal, based on team trends.

NAVY at AIR FORCE

Navy recovered at Tulane, Ken Niumatalolo dog mark now 22-12-1 since 2013. But Mids have failed to win or cover last three trips to Air Force as host team is 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line since 2013 in this Commander-in-Chief’s rivalry. Tech edge: Air Force, based on series trends. 

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE

Tech has lost last four SU in series and failed to cover last three vs. K-State. Red Raiders 2-7 vs. number last nine away from Lubbock. Cats failed in 2020 home opener vs. Arkansas State but were 5-2 vs. spread in Manhattan for Chris Klieman in 2019. Tech edge: K-State, based on series and team trends. 

OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS

Mike Gundy has covered seven of last eight away from Stillwater. OSU also 3-0-2 vs. spread last five in series. Les Miles only 2-7 vs. spread as host for KU. Tech edge: OK State, based on series and team trends. 

UTSA at UAB

Bill Clark’s UAB team has won and covered all three vs. UTSA since returning to gridiron in 2017. Blazers 9-2-1 vs. line since 2017 as C-USA hosts, 18-7-1 in C-USA play in that span. UTSA has covered five in a row away (1-0 for Jeff Traylor, also 3-0 SU). Tech edge: UAB, based on team and series trends. 

TCU at TEXAS

Revenge for Longhorns after 37-27 Fort Worth loss last year. Frogs have won and covered five of last six in series. Tom Herman 3-3 as Austin chalk since last year but just 6-10 in that role for Horns. Gary Patterson, however, just 3-7 last 10 vs. points as visitor. Tech edge: Slight to TCU, based on extended trends.  

TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA

Jimbo Fisher 5-3 as dog with Aggies, has split vs. line against Nick Saban last two years. A&M 6-3 vs. spread as visitor for Fisher. Tide just 1-3 as SEC home chalk last season.  Tech edge: Slight to A&M, based on team trends. 

OLE MISS at KENTUCKY

Rebels were 5-1-1 as dogs in 2019 for Matt Luke, though Lane Kiffin just 5-4-1 as dog for FAU the last three years and dropped Rebs’ opener vs. Gators. After 0-9 home chalk mark 2017-18, Cats were 6-2 vs. spread as hosts in 2019 (4-2 as Lexington chalk). Tech edge: Ole Miss, based on team trends. 

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE

Dog team has covered last four in series. WKU has dropped first two vs. line this year and on four-game spread winless streak (0-3-1) since late 2019. Blue Raiders did get cover at UTSA after slow 2020 start. MTSU’s Rick Stockstill is 8-3 vs. points last 11 as C-USA host. Tech edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends. 

CHARLOTTE at FLORIDA ATLANTIC

FAU hopes to get going after pair of postponements. This will be Willie Taggart’s FAU debut. Owls were 10-4 vs. line for Lane Kiffin last year, though Taggart just 8-13-1 vs. spread with FSU last two seasons before getting the boot. Charlotte just 2-5 vs. line away from home last year. Tech edge: FAU, based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at UL-MONROE

Warhawks just 2-12 last 14 vs. line at Malone Stadium. Tech edge: Georgia Southern, based on ULM home woes. 

AUBURN at GEORGIA

A bit early for this traditional early November tilt. Gus Malzahn off best spread year since 2013 title-game season when 9-4 vs. line in 2019, now 1-0 in 2020. But Kirby Smart has had his number lately, winning and covering last three. Still, Bulldogs only 2-5 as Athens chalk in 2019. Malzahn 3-1 as dog last year. Tech edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.  

LSU at VANDERBILT

Derek Mason entered 2020 on 3-10 spread skid before solid cover at A&M. Tigers won 66-38 at Nashville last year. Ed Orgeron 9-1 vs. spread last 10 away from Baton Rouge. Tech edge: LSU, based on team trends. 

ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE

Hogs actually 3-2 vs. line away from home last year but have been destroyed last two years by MSU under Joe Moorhead. Bulldogs entered 2020 on 4-10 spread skid and Mike Leach was just 3-8 his last 11 as chalk with Washington State, but MSU won in style in Leach debut last week at LSU. Tech edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS

Golden Eagles now 0-6 SU and vs. line last six since late 2019. USM had lost and failed to cover three straight vs. UNT before 45-27 win last year. Mean Green on 5-18 spread skid since early 2018. Tech edge: Slight to UNT, based on current trends. 

 

NFL

 

DENVER at NEW YORK JETS

Broncos on 20-8 Under run since mid-2018 (11-8 Under for Vic Fangio). Denver also 5-2 last seven vs. points away. Jets 0-3 SU and vs. line in 2020. Tech edge: Under and Broncos, based on extended totals and team trends. 

INDIANAPOLIS at CHICAGO

Bears on 6-14 spread skid since late 2018, but they’re 3-0 SU and 2-1 vs. line early in 2020. Chicago also on 18-8 Under run since mid-2018. Bears 2-4 as dogs since 2019 after covering four of preceding five in role. Tech edge: Under, based on totals trends. 

NEW ORLEANS at DETROIT

After covering last seven as visitors in 2019, Saints dropped first road game this season at Raiders. New Orleans also on 8-2 Over run since late 2019. Lions Over 13-6 since 2019. Tech edge: Over and Saints, based on totals and team trends. 

ARIZONA at CAROLINA

Kliff Kingsbury 12-6-1 vs. spread since taking over Cards in 2019. Panthers won at Chargers last week but on 2-8-1 spread skid since mid-2019, 0-4-1 last five vs. points at Charlotte. Carolina also Over 7-1 last eight since mid-2019 (2-0 Over for Matt Rhule). Tech edge: Cards and Over, based on team and totals trends. 

JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI

Jaguars have covered last three and four of last five as dogs. If Bengals chalk, note 1-5 mark last six in role since early 2018. Cincy also Over 5-2 last seven since late 2019. Tech edge: Slight to Over and Jaguars, based on totals and team trends. 

CLEVELAND at DALLAS

Browns 6-12-1 vs. line since 2019 (1-2 early this season for Kevin Stefanski), also no covers last four or five of last six as dogs. Cowboys Over 6-3 last nine at Arlington, also just 3-8 last 11 overall as chalk. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends. 

MINNESOTA at HOUSTON

Vikes Over 8-3 last 11 in regular season. Texans just 3-6-1 last 10 as chalk. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends. 

SEATTLE at MIAMI

Seahawks 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine on regular-season road. Also on 17-8 Over run since late 2018. After beating Jaguars, Dolphins now 11-4 last 15 as dogs. Miami also Over 7-3 last 10 since mid-2018, though 1-2 Under to begin 2020. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends. 

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS at TAMPA BAY

Bolts only 3-7-1 last 11 vs. spread away (0-0-1 this season). Bruce Arians’ Cards and Bucs teams Over 29-13 their last 42 games. Tech edge: Over and slight to Bucs, based on totals and recent trends. 

PITTSBURGH at TENNESSEE

Steelers were 5-0-1 in last six as dogs in 2019 minus Ben Roethlisberger. Mike Tomlin now 10-1-1 as dog since 2018. Pitt also Under 14-6 last 20 since late 2018. Titans 1-4 last five as chalk and 0-3 vs. line in 2020, though 3-0 SU! Tech edge: Steelers and Under, based on team and totals trends. 

BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON

Into Monday vs. Chiefs, Ravens had won last 14 SU in regular season and were 11-1 vs. number last 12 regular-season games. Washington only 7-13 last 20 on board since late 2018, spanning three coaches. Tech edge: Ravens, based on team trends. 

NEW YORK GIANTS at LOS ANGELES RAMS

Giants covered at Bears, now 11-3 as visiting dogs since 2018. Rams were only 2-3 as home chalk last year and yet to be favored in 2020. Tech edge: Giants, based on team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at KANSAS CITY

Bill Belichick barely failed as dog at Seattle but still 13-4 as dog since 2010. Chiefs have covered last three regular-season meetings. Into Monday at Baltimore, K.C. 11-0 SU, 10-1 vs. line last 11 since mid-2019. Tech edge: Slight to Patriots, based on Belichick dog trends. 

BUFFALO at LAS VEGAS

Bills 8-2-2 vs. spread as regular-season visitors since mid-2018. Buffalo Over first three in 2020 after 13-4 Under mark last season, Raiders also Over first three in 2020 after 6-1 Unders to close 2019. Tech edge: Bills and Over, based on team and recent totals trends. 

PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO

Eagles 3-8 vs. line last 10 since mid-2019, also only 4-6 as dogs since 2018. Philly also Over 7-1 last eight away. Niners Over 5-2 last seven in regular season at Santa Clara. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends. 

ATLANTA at GREEN BAY

Falcons 8-4 vs. line since mid-2019 (1-1 in 2020), also Over three in a row. Pack Over last five since late 2019 and 5-1 last six vs. points at Lambeau. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends.

 

back to news

VSIN_300x250

QuickPicks_300x250_080920_NFLkickoff

PropSwap_Logo_002_FullColor

Online Sports Betting Marketplace

Featured Tickets for Sale on PropSwap.com

1) SF 49ers to Win NFL Championship - Sale Price: $999, Collect: $2,000, Odds: +100

2) Gonzaga to Win NCAAB Championship - Sale Price: $216, Collect: $2,600, Odds: 11/1

3) LA Clippers to Win NBA Championship - Sale Price: $1,283, Collect: $5,000, Odds: +290

Go to PropSwap.com or call
1-844-PROPSWAP

All tickets are open to Bidding. Prices & availability are subject to change.

Headlines

View All

Google Play
App Store
Close