Top Week 7 NFL survivor pool picks

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The Colts erased a 21-point deficit and held off the Bengals to avoid a major upset that likely would have shrunk your survivor pool by a considerable margin. The Colts won 31-27, and chalk prevailed. However, those who looked to Foxboro for their lock of the week were not as fortunate. The Patriots have missed large chunks of practice time the last few weeks due to COVID-19, and it certainly showed Sunday as they looked rusty in their 18-12 upset loss to the Broncos. The spread flirted with double digits at times in the days leading up to the game but closed around a touchdown Sunday. The Broncos spoiled 73 of the 400 remaining Circa survivor entries who pegged the Patriots as their pick, while 71 contestants escaped danger when the Colts won. And 250 participants had a relaxed Sunday afternoon cheering their choice of the Dolphins, as the most popular pick of the week blanked the Jets 24-0 in a game that wasn’t even as close as the score indicated. What will Week 7 bring?

 

Games to Consider

Philadelphia Eagles (-6) over New York Giants

It’s 2020, so anyone playing against either New York football team is a viable candidate for survivor consideration. The Giants scored their first victory Sunday, beating Washington in a game somebody had to win. The Eagles were manhandled for most of their loss to the Ravens last week before rallying and covering to make the score look respectable. While I don’t endorse the Eagles as the safest choice this week, they are worthy options if you’re limited based on whom you’ve already used. Thursday games are usually stay-aways for me, and division games tend to be close. Thanks, but no thanks.

 

Los Angeles Chargers (-8) over Jacksonville Jaguars

To borrow a line from the late Dennis Green in the most memorable postgame news conference of all time, “They are who we thought they were.” The Jaguars are who we thought they were heading into the season, which is a terrible football team. They beat the Colts in the opener and played the Titans close the next week. But since then they have looked like the Trevor Lawrence suitors we all expected them to be. They have not only been bludgeoned but had a streak of three weeks in a row in which their opponents gained their first wins of the season. The Chargers have played well but don’t have much to show for it. They’ve squandered some big leads and already lost several heartbreakers, a category in which they seem to perennially lead the league. This is a great option, though not the safest on the board. 

 

Kansas City Chiefs (-9) over Denver Broncos

Always a worthy consideration are the defending champs and their video-game offense. However, the Denver altitude is one home-field advantage the pandemic hasn’t compromised, and the Chiefs will be not only on the road but off a short week against a Broncos team that can defend at a high level. The Chiefs will likely win, but chances are you’ve used them already. If not, you’re better off saving them for later in the season. Pass. 

 

The Pick

Buffalo Bills (-11) over New York Jets

I have some profound insight regarding this game that led me to pick the Bills: They are playing the New York Jets. Enough said. The Jets will not only be underdogs in every game, but chances are they won’t be catching less than a touchdown from here on out. The Jets aren’t just bad, they are totally uncompetitive, and they will get steamrolled by the Bills. This should be a no-sweat Sunday once again picking against this putrid Jets squad.

 

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

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Follow The Money: Consider schedules before betting on a team. What happened before and what is coming up can impact if a team is worth backing. Like SEA hosting CAR (off their bye) with SF in Week 15.  View more tips.

The Greg Peterson Experience: Have a value in mind for a dropoff to a backup quarterback from the starter, as many QBs are injured at this time of the season. View more tips.

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Dave Tuley: Saints +3.5. ​​​View more picks.

Greg Peterson: Troy +16 vs San Diego St. ​​​View more picks

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

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VSiN PrimeTime: Be aware of injuries on the offensive line, skill positions get the most publicity, but if an elite tackle is out it could have a huge impact on the game. View more tips.

A Numbers Game: If you’re just getting into soccer betting, make sure you know exactly what you’re betting. i.e. Double chance, to win, to advance, etc. View more tips.
 
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Chuck Edel: Kansas State +2.5 vs TCU. View more picks.

Kenny White: Fresno State +3 vs Boise St. View more picks.
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