After last week’s college football stability mismatches produced a record of 5-4 ATS, I’m here to unveil the Week 2 plays that qualify for my long-running system that quantifies the stability level of FBS teams entering the season.
If you missed the explanation and other details about this method or are new to VSiN, I encourage you to go back to last week’s edition of Point Spread Weekly (Season 5, Issue 2) and download the report.
For a short explanation, this stability system, which I’ve employed for 10 seasons without a losing campaign, measures one team’s stability against another’s. Using a time-tested point-assigning process for coaches, quarterbacks and returning starters, I come up with a stability score for each team. When these scores differ by eight points or more, I consider it a stability mismatch.
The stability-score difference between the teams has nothing to do with the point spread. I am simply assuming that oddsmakers have not given enough credence to the stability difference and that their lines are off because of it.
Here is a list of the top stability mismatches for Week 2. I typically believe that after two or three games, oddsmakers catch up and fully adjust for teams’ changes. You should feel comfortable employing this strategy for the first few weeks.