Disappointing but not unexpected.
The New England Patriots (-4) lost to popular underdog Tennessee 20-13 in the wild-card round Saturday night, continuing a recent trend of poor performances against quality teams. Sharps and recreational bettors drove the line downward from Patriots -5 in the hours before kickoff.
Despite winning total yardage 307-272 and yards per play 5.2 to 4.8, the Pats were sent home from the playoffs because of an inability to control the point of attack and an inability to finish drives, going just 1 of 3 in the red zone.
Tennessee won rushing yardage 201-98, third-down conversions 50%-38% and turnovers 2-1. New England trailed the entire second half, failing to score in just 21 offensive plays.
The Titans will visit AFC top seed Baltimore at 8:15 p.m. Saturday. The rested and ready Ravens opened as 10-point favorites at the Westgate in Las Vegas soon after Titans-Patriots ended.
Bettors backing New England in every game finished the season 8-8-1 against the spread, minus-0.8 units after factoring in the 10% vigorish on losses (wagerers risk $11 units for every 10 units they’re trying to win). The Pats were a woeful 1-5-1 ATS vs. teams reaching the playoffs, 7-3 ATS vs. everyone else.