For weeks, we've known that the Atlanta Falcons were shopping star wide receiver Julio Jones. We just didn't know which team would trade for him.
Early Sunday morning news broke that the Falcons traded Jones to the Tennessee Titans in exchange for a 2nd round pick in 2022 and a fourth round pick in 2023. With Jones now in the fold, the Titans possess a potentially dangerous offensive core of Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown and Jones.
Sportsbooks were quick to adjust the odds in favor of the Titans following the blockbuster trade. The Titans moved from + 110 to + 105 to win the Division at BetMGM, turning Tennessee from a slight dog to a co-favorite alongside the Colts. The Titans moved from + 2200 to + 1200 to win the AFC and + 4000 to + 2500 to win the Super Bowl. Some shops moved the Titans win total up from 9 to 9.5, although the under 9.5 is juiced up to -120.
The Titans went 11-5 last season. Here is Tennessee's schedule this upcoming season
at New York
vs Kansas City
at Los Angeles Rams
vs New Orleans
at New England
vs San Francisco
Now it's on to Monday, where a new week begins with a smaller than usual slate featuring 3 MLB games, 2 NBA playoff games and 2 NHL playoff games. For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting the Lombardi Line with Patrick Meagher from 12 p.m. ET to 2 p.m. ET. We'll be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and also check in with our friend Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.
In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for tonight's two NBA playoff games...
7:30 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets
This is Game 2 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Nets lead the series 1-0 after winning the opener 115-107, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. The under 239.5 all cashed. Tonight's rematch opened with Brooklyn listed as a 2-point home favorite. Despite the Nets missing James Harden (out, hamstring), the public is still rushing to the window to lay the short spread with the home favorite. However, despite this lopsided support, we've seen Brooklyn fall from -2 to -1.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Bucks, with pros grabbing Milwaukee and the points (ideally at + 2). The Bucks also have value as a contrarian road dog in a heavily bet primetime game. We've also seen some respected money hit the under. The total opened at 234.5 and has fallen to 233.5. So far this postseason, when the total is 230 or higher the under is 4-2 (67%). Leading the series 1-0, the Nets are -225 favorites to advance to the next round. The Bucks are + 175 dogs to come back and win the series.
10 p.m. ET: Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns
This is Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. Both of these teams are coming off 4-2 series wins, with the Nuggets taking down the Blazers and the Suns brushing aside the Lakers. Tonight's line opened with Phoenix listed as a short 4-point home favorite. It looks as though Pros and Joes are both in agreement in terms of laying the points with the Suns, as we've seen Phoenix get bet up from -4 to -4.5. Some shops are even flirting with a possible move up to -5. Essentially all liability seems to be on the Suns' side. Shorts favorites -5 or less are 20-9 ATS (69%) this postseason. The total opened at 219.5 and has yet to budge in either direction. When the total is less than 220, the under is 12-6 (67%) this postseason. These teams met three times in the regular season, with the Nuggets going 2-1. The combined totals were 232, 256 and 209. The Suns are -190 favorites to win this series. The Nuggets are + 155 dogs.
Remember to check the VSiN Betting Splits every day for money and ticket counts so you can tell who the public is betting on.