Tips on betting NFL preseason

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While the team at VSiN is busily preparing the 2021 Pro Football Betting Guide, due out next week, bettors have a full week of exhibition football to take in. The  entire scope of NFL betting changes from preseason to regular season, but that doesn’t mean opportunities don’t exist. In fact, I know of several professional bettors who believe the chance of winning preseason games trumps that of games that count in the standings. Of course, I know others who won’t touch exhibitions.
 
Because of COVID-19, we had no 2020 preseason. The big change since 2019 is that the preseason consists of only three weeks, not four. Don’t overlook the importance of this and how it might change the way coaches approach these games. With four-game schedules, coaches typically built up their starters’ time in each of the first three games, culminating with the so-called dress rehearsal in Week 3. The final week was always for evaluating the lower-end talent for final cuts, and the main players usually didn’t see the field. With a three-game slate, will the dress rehearsal be pushed up to Game 2? Will the starters play at all in the final game? These are important questions that will be answered in a few short weeks.
 
Perhaps the single most important concept you’ll want to understand is that some coaches use these games to establish momentum or a winning culture. Others couldn’t care less. For instance, the Ravens under John Harbaugh have easily been the league’s best preseason team, as they own a spectacular 18-3 record since 2015. Mike Zimmer’s Vikings have also been stellar. On the other hand, the Falcons under Dan Quinn had become known for essentially tanking the preseason in favor of keeping players healthy. We’ll see if that changes in their first season under Arthur Smith.
 
The other important factor that typically has a huge impact on the closing odds is whether a starting quarterback will play. If a price looks off to you or falls outside the 3 to -3 line range, it’s a good bet that one of the QBs is not suiting up. The Bengals already have said Joe Burrow won’t play in the exhibition season as he recovers from last season’s ACL injury. And Rams coach Sean McVay has indicated that new QB Matt Stafford will take no preseason snaps. Watch Dak Prescott’s situation with the Cowboys, as he didn’t play in the Hall of Fame Game last week.
 
 
I will be posting weekly game ratings for every contest throughout the exhibition season on VSiN.com and in Point Spread Weekly, just as I have since 2017.
 
Basic NFL Preseason Betting Concepts to Consider for 2021
 
 
1. Line ranges have proven very telling
Oddsmakers have essentially led bettors to water in the preseason, though it is easy to see how these prices can seem tricky. Since 2010, five teams have been favored by more than 7 points. All five lost ATS. At the same time, favorites in the sweet-spot range of -3.5 to -7 have been quite reliable, going 105-81 ATS, or 56.5%. But most games tend to land in the -1 to -3 range, and those contests are where the underdogs thrive. Since 2015, underdogs in the 1 to 3 range own a highly profitable record of 127-84 ATS, good for 60.2%.
 
2. Home-field advantage is very low
In only one of the last nine preseasons have home teams finished with records better than .500 ATS. If you’re simply guessing on these games or wagering them for fun, side with the road teams, as the points oddsmakers give hosts for their supposed home-field advantage tend to tip the ATS ledger to the visitors. In fact, since 2011, road teams own a 294-266 ATS edge, good for 52.5% and essentially enough to make a small profit. The average home line in that span is -2, and home teams are winning by 1.1 PPG, meaning an overprice of almost a point. Over the last four seasons, the edge is 134-112 ATS, a winning percentage of 54.5%.
 
3. 37 is a magic number for totals
Since the 2010 preseason, 37 has proven quite the benchmark in terms of totals. Totals less than 37 have gone Over at a rate of 58.5% (240-170), while those of 37 or higher have gone Under at a 56.9% clip (486-368). Take away the regular occurrence of Unders in the HOF game, which I detailed last week, and that first trend is even greater. As of Tuesday, six of this week’s 16 games showed totals of 37 or more.
 
4. Big wins have carryover effects
NFL teams coming off preseason wins of 20+ points and favored are on a 14-5-2 ATS surge since 2013. Most bettors tend to favor a yin-and-yang strategy in the preseason, assuming that the scales balance out. But big wins have provided big momentum for the next game as well.
 
Six Notable Preseason Head-to-Head Trends for 2021
 
— Week 1, New York Jets at New York Giants: Underdogs are on a 4-0-1 ATS run in this rivalry.
— Week 1, Seattle at Las Vegas: Road teams have won four straight ATS.
— Week 2, Atlanta at Miami: Miami has won four straight ATS vs. Atlanta.
— Week 3, New England at New York Giants: Underdogs are on a 4-0 ATS run.
— Week 3, Philadelphia at New York Jets: Home teams are on a 7-0 ATS run.
— Week 3, Philadelphia at New York Jets: Under the total has converted in five straight.
 
Team-by-Team Previews and Situational Records
 
ARIZONA CARDINALS
Coach: Kliff Kingsbury (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Kyler Murray, Colt McCoy, Chris Streveler
Preseason power rating: 18 (T-25 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-12 SU and 9-11 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Bruce Arians)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Bruce Arians)
2017: 2-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (Bruce Arians)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Steve Wilks)
2019: 1-3 SUand ATS (Kliff Kingsbury)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 11-10 (52%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 6-9 (40%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 3-2 (60%)
As favorite ATS: 5-6 (45%)
As underdog ATS: 4-4 (50%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-4 (43%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-5 (44%)
 
ATLANTA FALCONS
Coach: Arthur Smith (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Matt Ryan, AJ McCarron, Feleipe Franks
Preseason power rating: 16.5 (32 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 6-15 SU and 5-16 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Dan Quinn)
2016: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Dan Quinn)
2017: 0-4 SU and ATS (Dan Quinn)
2018: 0-4 SU and ATS (Dan Quinn)
2019: 1-4 SU andATS (Dan Quinn)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-13 (38%)
At Home ATS: 2-8 (20%)
On road/neutral ATS: 3-8 (27%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 4-14 (22%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-2 (33%)
As favorite ATS: 2-6 (25%)
As underdog ATS: 3-9 (25%)
Off SU win ATS: 1-2 (33%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-11 (15%)
 
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Coach: John Harbaugh (since 2008)
Quarterback rotation: Lamar Jackson, Trace McSorley, Tyler Huntley
Preseason power rating: 21 (1 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 18-3 SU and 17-3 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (John Harbaugh)
2016: 4-0 SU and ATS (John Harbaugh)
2017: 4-0 SU and ATS (John Harbaugh)
2018: 5-0 SU and 3-1 ATS (John Harbaugh)
2019: 4-0 SU and ATS (John Harbaugh)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-11 (45%)
At home ATS: 9-1 (90%)
On road/neutral ATS: 8-2 (80%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 5-0 (100%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 12-3 (80%)
As favorite ATS: 9-2 (82%)
As underdog ATS: 8-1 (89%)
Off SU win ATS: 12-1 (92%)
Off SU loss ATS: 1-1 (50%)
 
BUFFALO BILLS
Coach: Sean McDermott (since 2017)
Quarterback rotation: Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky, Jake Fromm, Davis Webb
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 10-10 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Rex Ryan)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Rex Ryan)
2017: 1-3 SU and ATS (Sean McDermott)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Sean McDermott)
2019: 4-0 SU and ATS (Sean McDermott)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 10-10 (50%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 4-3 (57%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 6-7 (46%)
As favorite ATS: 3-4 (43%)
As underdog ATS: 6-6 (50%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-3 (57%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-3 (63%)
 
CAROLINA PANTHERS
Coach: Matt Rhule (first preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Sam Darnold, P.J. Walker, Will Grier
Preseason power rating: 18.5 (T-21 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 12-8 SU and 10-9 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Ron Rivera)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Ron Rivera)
2017: 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS (Ron Rivera)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Ron Rivera)
2019: 2-2 SU and ATS (Ron Rivera)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 12-7 (63%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-4 (56%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-9 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-0 (100%)
As favorite ATS: 5-5 (50%)
As underdog ATS: 5-3 (63%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-7 (22%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-1 (80%)
 
CHICAGO BEARS
Coach: Matt Nagy (since 2018)
Quarterback rotation: Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Nick Foles
Preseason power rating: 19.5 (T-12 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-12 SU and 11-10 ATS
Records by season (Coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (John Fox)
2016: 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (John Fox)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (John Fox)
2018: 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS (Matt Nagy)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Matt Nagy)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 11-9 (55%)
At home ATS: 3-7 (30%)
On road/neutral ATS: 8-3 (73%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 10-8 (56%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-2 (33%)
As favorite ATS: 1-6 (14%)
As underdog ATS: 10-3 (77%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-4 (43%)
Off SU loss ATS: 6-3 (67%)
 
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Coach: Zac Taylor (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Joe Burrow, Brandon Allen, Kyle Shurmur, Eric Dungey
Preseason power rating: 18 (T-25 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-11 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Marvin Lewis)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Marvin Lewis)
2017: 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (Marvin Lewis)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Marvin Lewis)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Zac Taylor)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-13 (35%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 3-6 (33%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 7-4 (64%)
As favorite ATS: 3-5 (38%)
As underdog ATS: 6-5 (55%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-5 (38%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Coach: Kevin Stefanski (first preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Baker Mayfield, Case Keenum, Kyle Lauletta
Preseason power rating: 20 (T-9 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 11-9 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and ATS (Mike Pettine)
2016: 0-4 SU and ATS (Hue Jackson)
2017: 4-0 SU and ATS (Hue Jackson)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Hue Jackson)
2019: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Freddie Kitchens)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 3-16 (16%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 1-2 (33%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 9-8 (53%)
As favorite ATS: 4-7 (36%)
As underdog ATS: 5-2 (71%)
Off SU win ATS: 5-3 (63%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-5 (29%)
 
DALLAS COWBOYS
Coach: Mike McCarthy (first preseason with Dallas)
Quarterback rotation: Dak Prescott, Garrett Gilbert, Cooper Rush, Ben DiNucci
Preseason power rating: 18 (T-25 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 7-13 SU and 6-11 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and ATS (Jason Garrett)
2016: 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (Jason Garrett)
2017: 3-1 SU and 1-1 ATS (Jason Garrett)
2018: 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS (Jason Garrett)
2019: 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS (Jason Garrett)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-11 (45%)
At home ATS: 4-5 (44%)
On road/neutral ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 4-4 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 2-7 (22%)
As favorite ATS: 1-4 (20%)
As underdog ATS: 4-7 (36%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-3 (40%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-6 (25%)
 
DENVER BRONCOS
Coach: Vic Fangio (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Drew Lock, Teddy Bridgewater, Brett Rypien
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 13-8 SU and 12-8 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Gary Kubiak)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Gary Kubiak)
2017: 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS (Vance Joseph)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Vance Joseph)
2019: 2-3 SU and ATS (Vic Fangio)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-12 (43%)
At home ATS: 4-5 (44%)
On road/neutral ATS: 8-3 (73%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 1-0 (100%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 11-8 (58%)
As favorite ATS: 5-4 (56%)
As underdog ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Off SU win ATS: 5-4 (56%)
Off SU loss ATS: 3-3 (50%)
 
DETROIT LIONS
Coach: Dan Campbell (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Jared Goff, David Blough, Tim Boyle
Preseason power rating: 17 (31 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 8-12 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Jim Caldwell)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Jim Caldwell)
2017: 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS (Jim Caldwell)
2018: 1-3 SU and ATS (Matt Patricia)
2019: 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS (Matt Patricia)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 10-10 (50%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-8 (53%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-2 (33%)
As favorite ATS: 4-4 (50%)
As underdog ATS: 5-6 (45%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-3 (50%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-5 (44%)
 
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Coach: Matt LaFleur (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Kurt Benkert
Preseason power rating: 19.5 (T-12 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 12-8 SU and 12-7 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Mike McCarthy)
2016: 3-1 SU and ATS (Mike McCarthy)
2017: 3-1 SU and 3-0 ATS (Mike McCarthy)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Mike McCarthy)
2019: 2-2 SU and ATS (Matt LaFleur)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 10-10 (50%)
At home ATS: 9-1 (90%)
On road/neutral ATS: 3-6 (33%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 7-6 (54%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 5-1 (83%)
As favorite ATS: 7-0 (100%)
As underdog ATS: 5-6 (45%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-4 (50%)
Off SU loss ATS: 3-3 (50%)
 
HOUSTON TEXANS
Coach: David Culley (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Deshaun Watson, Tyrod Taylor, Jeff Driskel, Davis Mills
Preseason power rating: 17.5 (30 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 10-8 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Bill O’Brien)
2016: 3-0-1 SU and 4-0 ATS (Bill O’Brien)
2017: 1-2 SU and ATS (Bill O’Brien)
2018: 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS (Bill O’Brien)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Bill O’Brien)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-12 (37%)
At home ATS: 6-2 (75%)
On road/neutral ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 2-1 (67%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 8-7 (53%)
As favorite ATS: 6-5 (55%)
As underdog ATS: 4-3 (57%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-5 (29%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-1 (80%)
 
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Coach: Frank Reich (since 2018)
Quarterback rotation: Jacob Eason, Sam Ehlinger, Brett Hundley, Carson Wentz (injured)
Preseason power rating: 19 (T-17 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-11 SU and 8-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and ATS (Chuck Pagano)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Chuck Pagano)
2017: 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS (Chuck Pagano)
2018: 3-1 SU and 3-0 ATS (Frank Reich)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Frank Reich)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-13 (35%)
At home ATS: 1-8 (11%)
On road/neutral ATS: 7-2 (78%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 3-5 (38%)
As favorite ATS: 0-8 (0%)
As underdog ATS: 7-1 (88%)
Off SU win ATS: 1-3 (25%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-4 (56%)
 
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Coach: Urban Meyer (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Trevor Lawrence, Gardner Minshew, C.J. Beathard, Jake Luton
Preseason power rating: 18.5 (T-21 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 8-12 SU and 9-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Gus Bradley)
2016: 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS (Gus Bradley)
2017: 2-2 SU and 2-1 ATS (Doug Marrone)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Doug Marrone)
2019: 0-4 SU and ATS (Doug Marrone)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-12 (40%)
At home ATS: 3-6 (33%)
On road/neutral ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 3-3 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 6-7 (46%)
As favorite ATS: 3-6 (33%)
As underdog ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-2 (60%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-5 (44%)
 
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Coach: Andy Reid (since 2013)
Quarterback rotation: Patrick Mahomes, Chad Henne, Anthony Gordon, Shane Buechele
Preseason power rating: 19.5 (T-12 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 11-9 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS (Andy Reid)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Andy Reid)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Andy Reid)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Andy Reid)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Andy Reid)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 10-10 (50%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 4-2 (67%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 6-8 (43%)
As favorite ATS: 8-8 (50%)
As underdog ATS: 2-2 (50%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-4 (43%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-3 (63%)
 
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Coach: Brandon Staley (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Justin Herbert, Chase Daniel, Easton Stick
Preseason power rating: 19.5 (T-12 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 7-13 SU and 9-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS (Mike McCoy)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Mike McCoy)
2017: 1-3 SU and ATS (Anthony Lynn)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Anthony Lynn)
2019: 1-3 SU and 1-2 ATS (Anthony Lynn)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-11 (39%)
At home ATS: 4-5 (44%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 0-1 (0%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 9-9 (50%)
As favorite ATS: 3-2 (60%)
As underdog ATS: 6-7 (46%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-3 (40%)
Off SU loss ATS: 6-3 (67%)
 
LOS ANGELES RAMS
Coach: Sean McVay (since 2017)
Quarterback rotation: Matthew Stafford, John Wolford, Bryce Perkins, Devlin Hodges
Preseason power rating: 18 (T-25 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 8-12 SU and 7-12 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 0-4 SU and ATS (Jeff Fisher)
2016: 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS (Jeff Fisher)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Sean McVay)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Sean McVay)
2019: 2-2 SU and 2-1 ATS (Sean McVay)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-11 (42%)
At home ATS: 5-4 (56%)
On road/neutral ATS: 2-8 (20%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 6-8 (43%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-4 (20%)
As favorite ATS: 1-3 (25%)
As underdog ATS: 6-8 (43%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-3 (57%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-5 (29%)
 
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Coach: Jon Gruden (since 2018)
Quarterback rotation: Derek Carr, Marcus Mariota, Nathan Peterman
Preseason power rating: 20 (T-9 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 8-12 SU and 9-11 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and ATS (Jack Del Rio)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Jack Del Rio)
2017: 0-4 SU and ATS (Jack Del Rio)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Jon Gruden)
2019: 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS (Jon Gruden)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-10 (47%)
At home ATS: 4-5 (44%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-6 (45%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 0-1 (0%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 9-10 (47%)
As favorite ATS: 4-5 (44%)
As underdog ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-3 (57%)
Off SU loss ATS: 1-7 (13%)
 
MIAMI DOLPHINS
Coach: Brian Flores (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Tua Tagovailoa, Jacoby Brissett, Reid Sinnett
Preseason power rating: 18.5 (T-21 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-11 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-3 SU and ATS (Joe Philbin)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Adam Gase)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Adam Gase)
2018: 1-3 SU and ATS (Adam Gase)
2019: 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS (Brian Flores)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 12-7 (63%)
At home ATS: 3-6 (33%)
On road/neutral ATS: 7-4 (64%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 1-3 (25%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 9-7 (56%)
As favorite ATS: 3-7 (30%)
As underdog ATS: 6-2 (75%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-4 (33%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-4 (56%)
 
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Coach: Mike Zimmer (since 2014)
Quarterback rotation: Kirk Cousins, Kellen Mond, Jake Browning, Nate Stanley, Danny Etling
Preseason power rating: 19 (T-17 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 4-1 SU and ATS (Mike Zimmer)
2016: 4-0 SU and ATS (Mike Zimmer)
2017: 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS (Mike Zimmer)
2018: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Mike Zimmer)
2019: 3-1 SU and ATS (Mike Zimmer)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 11-10 (52%)
At home ATS: 6-4 (60%)
On road/neutral ATS: 8-3 (73%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 7-4 (64%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 7-3 (70%)
As favorite ATS: 8-5 (62%)
As underdog ATS: 5-2 (71%)
Off SU win ATS: 9-5 (64%)
Off SU loss ATS: 0-2 (0%)
 
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Coach: Bill Belichick (since 2000)
Quarterback rotation: Cam Newton, Mac Jones, Brian Hoyer, Jarrett Stidham
Preseason power rating: 18 (T-25 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 12-8 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Bill Belichick)
2016: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Bill Belichick)
2017: 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS (Bill Belichick)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Bill Belichick)
2019: 3-1 SU and ATS (Bill Belichick)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 10-10 (50%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 6-4 (60%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 1-2 (33%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 9-8 (53%)
As favorite ATS: 4-9 (31%)
As underdog ATS: 6-1 (86%)
Off SU win ATS: 5-6 (45%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-2 (50%)
 
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Coach: Sean Payton (since 2006)
Quarterback rotation: Jameis Winston, Taysom Hill, Ian Book, Trevor Siemian
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 7-13 SU and 6-13 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 0-4 SU and ATS (Sean Payton)
2016: 0-4 SU and ATS (Sean Payton)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Sean Payton)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Sean Payton)
2019: 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS (Sean Payton)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-13 (35%)
At home ATS: 2-8 (20%)
On road/neutral ATS: 4-5 (44%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 5-10 (33%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-3 (25%)
As favorite ATS: 4-8 (33%)
As underdog ATS: 2-5 (29%)
Off SU win ATS: 3-3 (50%)
Off SU loss ATS: 2-6 (25%)
 
NEW YORK GIANTS
Coach: Joe Judge (first preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Daniel Jones, Mike Glennon, Clayton Thorson
Preseason power rating: 19.5 (T-12 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 12-8 SU and 11-9 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Tom Coughlin)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Ben McAdoo)
2017: 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS (Ben McAdoo)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Pat Shurmur)
2019: 4-0 SU and ATS (Pat Shurmur)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-11 (45%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 7-3 (70%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-9 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 2-0 (100%)
As favorite ATS: 3-6 (33%)
As underdog ATS: 7-2 (78%)
Off SU win ATS: 6-2 (75%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
NEW YORK JETS
Coach: Robert Saleh (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Zach Wilson, Mike White, James Morgan, Josh Johnson
Preseason power rating: 19 (T-17 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 9-11 SU and 10-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Todd Bowles)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Todd Bowles)
2017: 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS (Todd Bowles)
2018: 1-3 SU and ATS (Todd Bowles)
2019: 2-2 SU and ATS (Adam Gase)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 5-15 (25%)
At home ATS: 7-3 (70%)
On road/neutral ATS: 3-7 (30%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 2-0 (100%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 8-10 (44%)
As favorite ATS: 5-4 (56%)
As underdog ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-4 (33%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-4 (56%)
 
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Coach: Nick Sirianni (first season)
Quarterback rotation: Jalen Hurts, Joe Flacco, Nick Mullens
Preseason power rating: 18.5 (T-21 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 11-9 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Chip Kelly)
2016: 4-0 SU and ATS (Doug Pederson)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Doug Pederson)
2018: 1-3 SU and ATS (Doug Pederson)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Doug Pederson)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-11 (42%)
At home ATS: 7-3 (70%)
On road/neutral ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-8 (53%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 2-1 (67%)
As favorite ATS: 7-4 (64%)
As underdog ATS: 4-5 (44%)
Off SU win ATS: 6-3 (67%)
Off SU loss ATS: 3-3 (50%)
 
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Coach: Mike Tomlin (since 2007)
Quarterback rotation: Ben Roethlisberger, Mason Rudolph, Dwayne Haskins, Josh Dobbs
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 11-10 SU and 10-11 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 1-4 SU and ATS (Mike Tomlin)
2016: 1-3 SU and ATS (Mike Tomlin)
2017: 3-1 SU and ATS (Mike Tomlin)
2018: 3-1 SU and ATS (Mike Tomlin)
2019: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Mike Tomlin)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-12 (43%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-6 (45%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 3-3 (50%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 7-8 (47%)
As favorite ATS: 3-5 (38%)
As underdog ATS: 7-6 (54%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-5 (44%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Coach: Kyle Shanahan (since 2017)
Quarterback rotation: Jimmy Garoppolo, Trey Lance, Josh Rosen, Nate Sudfeld
Preseason power rating: 20 (T-9 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 10-9 SU and 9-10 ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS (Jim Tomsula)
2016: 2-1-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Chip Kelly)
2017: 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS (Kyle Shanahan)
2018: 1-3 SU and 0-3 ATS (Kyle Shanahan)
2019: 3-1 SU and ATS (Kyle Shanahan)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-12 (40%)
At home ATS: 3-7 (30%)
On road/neutral ATS: 6-3 (67%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 6-8 (43%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 3-2 (60%)
As favorite ATS: 4-7 (36%)
As underdog ATS: 4-2 (67%)
Off SU win ATS: 2-4 (33%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Coach: Pete Carroll (since 2010)
Quarterback rotation: Russell Wilson, Geno Smith, Sean Mannion, Alex McGough
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 12-8 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Pete Carroll)
2016: 3-1 SU and ATS (Pete Carroll)
2017: 4-0 SU and ATS (Pete Carroll)
2018: 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS (Pete Carroll)
2019: 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS (Pete Carroll)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-12 (40%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 7-3 (70%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-6 (60%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 3-2 (60%)
As favorite ATS: 6-6 (50%)
As underdog ATS: 6-2 (75%)
Off SU win ATS: 5-3 (63%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Coach: Bruce Arians (since 2019)
Quarterback rotation: Tom Brady, Blaine Gabbert, Kyle Trask, Ryan Griffin
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 10-10 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Lovie Smith)
2016: 2-2 SU and ATS (Dirk Koetter)
2017: 1-3 SU and ATS (Dirk Koetter)
2018: 2-2 SU and ATS (Dirk Koetter)
2019: 3-1 SU and ATS (Bruce Arians)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 8-11 (42%)
At home ATS: 3-7 (30%)
On road/neutral ATS: 7-3 (70%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 9-5 (64%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 1-5 (17%)
As favorite ATS: 3-7 (30%)
As underdog ATS: 7-3 (70%)
Off SU win ATS: 4-4 (50%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
 
TENNESSEE TITANS
Coach: Mike Vrabel (since 2018)
Quarterback rotation: Ryan Tannehill, Logan Woodside, Matt Barkley
Preseason power rating: 19 (T-17 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 8-12 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 2-2 SU and ATS (Ken Whisenhunt)
2016: 3-1 SU and ATS (Mike Mularkey)
2017: 1-3 SU and ATS (Mike Mularkey)
2018: 0-4 SU and ATS (Mike Vrabel)
2019: 2-2 SU and ATS (Mike Vrabel)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 9-8 (53%)
At home ATS: 4-6 (40%)
On road/neutral ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 3-6 (33%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 5-6 (45%)
As favorite ATS: 4-6 (40%)
As underdog ATS: 4-6 (40%)
Off SU win ATS: 1-4 (20%)
Off SU loss ATS: 5-5 (50%)
 
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM
Coach: Ron Rivera (first preseason with Washington)
Quarterback rotation: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Taylor Heinicke, Kyle Allen, Steven Montez
Preseason power rating: 20.5 (T-2 of 32)
Combined preseason record since 2015: 10-10 SU and ATS
Records by season (coach)
2015: 3-1 SU and ATS (Jay Gruden)
2016: 3-1 SU and ATS (Jay Gruden)
2017: 2-2 SU and ATS (Jay Gruden)
2018: 1-3 SU and ATS (Jay Gruden)
2019: 1-3 SU and ATS (Jay Gruden)
Situational records over last five preseasons
Over/Under: 7-13 (35%)
At home ATS: 5-5 (50%)
On road/neutral ATS: 5-5 (50%)
Vs. AFC ATS: 6-8 (43%)
Vs. NFC ATS: 4-2 (67%)
As favorite ATS: 5-5 (50%)
As underdog ATS: 4-5 (44%)
Off SU win ATS: 5-3 (63%)
Off SU loss ATS: 4-3 (57%)
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