Time to Tee Up the Masters Prop Shots

By Wes Reynolds  () 

Like most weekly tournaments, the Masters offers a futures market and a matchups market. What makes this week rare is that the propositions market is far more extensive and provides ample opportunities for bettors to make money in other ways.

While it’s impossible to examine every single prop, there are several out there that I’ll highlight that should provide some good value.

TOP ASIAN

Si Woo Kim (4/1) was in contention last week at the Valero Texas Open before an eventual T-4 finish. Haotong Li (9/2) won his group at the WGC Dell Match Play a couple weeks ago defeating Brooks Koepka and Alex Noren. However, I see the chalk providing the best value here with Hideki Matsuyama at -110. He is currently second on tour in SG: Approach and 3rd in SG: Tee To Green. That superior ball striking should be rewarded here particularly with some early rain this week.

TOP DEBUTANT

A debutant has not won the Masters since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. Don’t expect it to happen out of this group but there is some value down the board in this category to be the top rookie this year at Augusta National. While there are three debutants currently ranked in the OWGR Top 50 (Matt Wallace 7/2, Eddie Pepperell 4/1, Lucas Bjerregaard 6/1) and several PGA Tour event winners with shorter odds, I’m taking a shot with a 21 year-old Norwegian named Viktor Hovland at 25/1. Hovland, currently the No. 3 ranked amateur in the world, currently plays golf at Oklahoma State and gained a Masters invite by winning the 2018 U.S. Amateur. He also finished one stroke back to T-2 last year at the European Amateur. This is a chance for him to shine as he’s the No. 3 amateur in the world but not even the best player on his defending NCAA Championship team (teammate Matthew Wolff is the No. 2 world amateur). With no obvious contenders from this group, Hovland is definitely worth a shot here.

TOP PAST CHAMPION

Topping the market here of course is four-time champion Tiger Woods (1997, 2001, 2002, 2005) at 9/4. He’s followed closely at 3/1 by Jordan Spieth (2015), who tied Tiger’s 1997 Masters record shooting 270 (-18). Next up is two-time (2012, 2014) champ Bubba Watson at 6/1. Nonetheless, I’m pointing to a player in better form than those three currently at odds of 15/2 in 2013 champ Adam Scott. The Aussie is putting better than he has in years (14th SG: Putting) and seems to finally be over the anchor ban. He ranks first on tour this year in putting from 15-20 feet, making 40 percent from that distance. Not to mention, his wedge game has been on point all season. Scott currently ranks first on the PGA Tour in approach shots from both 75-100 yards and 100-125 yards and 6th in approaches from 125-150 yards.

TOP 10 FINISH

Rickie Fowler 7/4; Hideki Matsuyama 11/4; Adam Scott 7/2; Patrick Cantlay 5/1.

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