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Thursday Sharp Action Report for Blue Jays-Red Sox, White Sox-Royals and Nuggets-Clippers

September 3, 2020 04:43 AM

Wednesday offered another thrilling day of NBA playoff action, with underdogs going a perfect 2-0 ATS including one outright victory. In the early game, the Heat (+ 5.5) shocked the Bucks 116-114 to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. Miami cashed + 220 on the moneyline. In the nightcap, the Rockets outlasted the Thunder 104-102 to win Game 7. However, the Thunder (+ 5) covered the spread. Houston will now advance to the Western Conference Semifinals to face the Lakers. 

Overs and unders split 1-1. The over cashed in the Heat-Bucks game. Late smart money pushed the total up from 221 to 223.5 and it landed on 230. In the late game, wiseguys cashed one of their favorite systems: Game 7 unders. Once again, tired legs, slow pace and an emphasis on defense ruled out. Smart money dropped the Thunder-Rockets total from 220 to 217 and it landed on 206. Game 7 unders are now 2-0 this postseason. 

With Oklahoma City being eliminated from the playoffs, here are the updated NBA Title odds at BetMGM for the remaining Elite 8. 

Clippers + 260

Lakers + 275

Celtics + 550

Bucks + 600

Heat + 800

Rockets + 1000

Raptors + 1800

Nuggets + 2500

For an updated breakdown of Thursday#39;s betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at Noon ET. 

For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of matchups receiving notable smart money today.

7:30 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (19-16) at Boston Red Sox (12-25)

These two AL East opponents are trending in opposite directions. The Jays are 6-4 over their last 10 games and just made a plethora of trade deadline acquisitions to bolster a playoff push. The Red Sox are 3-7 over the last 10 and own the second-worst record in baseball. In tonight's series opener the Jays will start newly acquired Taijuan Walker (3-2, 3.27 ERA) while the Sox counter with lefty Martin Perez (2-4, 4.58 ERA). This line opened with Toronto listed as a short -115 road favorite and Boston a + 105 home dog. Sharp money has poured in on Toronto, pushing the Jays up to -120 or even -125 at some shops. Road favorites are cashing at roughly a 61% clip this season. Toronto is 8-5 as a favorite this season and Boston is 6-20 as a dog. The Jays are + 14 in run differential while the Sox are -62.

8:05 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox (22-15) at Kansas City Royals (14-23)

Both of these AL Central foes are riding two-game losing skids. The White Sox just dropped two-of-three to the Twins while the Royals dropped two-of-three to the Indians. In tonight's series opener the Sox will start righty Dylan Cease (4-2, 3.00 ERA) while the Royals will counter with lefty Danny Duffy (2-2, 4.11 ERA). This line opened with the White Sox listed as relatively short -130 road favorites and the Royals a + 120 home dog. Both Pro and Joe money have come down on Chicago, pushing the Southsiders up to -135 or -140 across the market. The White Sox are 5-1 against the Royals this season and a perfect 11-0 against lefties. Chicago is 16-6 as a favorite and Kansas City is 13-23 as a dog. Chicago's run differential is + 37 while Kansas City is -32. 

9 p.m. ET: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers

This is Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets are riding the momentum of a 80-78 Game 7 victory over the Jazz as 1.5-point favorites. Denver overcame a 3-1 series deficit to win the final three games and advance to the next round. Meanwhile, the Clippers are coming off a 4-2 series win over the Mavs. This game opened with Los Angeles listed as an 8-point favorite. Some books even opened at -7.5. The public is split and doesn't know whether to take the points or lay the points, but wiseguys have rushed to the window to back the Clippers. This has pushed Los Angeles up to -8.5. One big advantage here for the Clippers is rest. Los Angeles last played on Sunday while Denver last played on Tuesday. The Nuggets have a quick turnaround while the Clippers are well-rested. Los Angeles is expected to also get a boost from the return of injured guard Patrick Beverley. 

Remember, the sports betting market is fluid and constantly changing due to action coming in. Stay up to date with the latest odds by visiting our free VSiN Live Odds Page.

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