Thursday Night Football Sharp Report

broncos
 
Today we have a loaded Thursday betting menu to choose from, including Thursday Night Football in both pro and college, plus 10 NHL games, 3 NBA games and one MLB playoff game. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
 
In the meantime, let's discuss where the action is flowing for tonight's Thursday Night Football showdown...
 
 
8:20 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns
 

This Thursday Night clash features a pair of .500 teams looking to snap losing skids. The Broncos (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) started the season 3-0 but have since gone 0-3, most recently falling to the Raiders 34-24 last week, losing outright as 5-point home favorites. Similarly, the Browns (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) started the season 3-1 but have since lost two straight, including a 37-14 loss to the Cardinals last week, losing outright as 3-point home favorites. The Broncos are  16 in point differential. The Browns are + 5.

 
This line opened with Cleveland listed as roughly a 6-point home favorite. As soon as the line was released, respected money pounced on the Broncos getting points, steaming Denver down to  3.5. Then, once it was announced Baker Mayfield would miss this game due to injury and Case Keenum would start in his place, we saw a second rush of Broncos money hit the market, dropping Denver down to  2. 
 
Denver matches several profitable betting systems. Road dogs off a loss are 18-11 ATS (62%) this season. Primetime dogs are 12-6 ATS (67%). Conference dogs are 39-26 ATS (60%). Short road dogs  3 or less are 12-4 ATS (75%). Teddy Bridgewater is 24-7 ATS (77%) in his career as a dog, including an incredible 19-2 ATS (91%) as a road dog. 
 
Respected money has also come down on this under, dropping the total from 44 to 41. Unders are 51-42 (55%) this season. If the total is 45 or less, the under is 17-9 (65%). Weather could also play a factor here. The forecast calls for low 60s with 15-20 MPH winds at the Dawg Pound. When the wind blows at least 10 MPH the under is 17-10 (63%) this season and roughly 55% the past decade. 
 
 
back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • reynolds

    Hero World Challenge best bets

    While the official PGA Tour season is on pause until January, an elite field of 20 players gathers this week for the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas....
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for Font-Aldo UFC card

    After a week off for Thanksgiving, the UFC heads into its last three productions of 2021 starting with Saturday’s UFC Fight Night from the Apex...
  • USATSI_17242641

    Peterson: Best bet for Nebraska vs. NC State

    The Big Ten/ACC Challenge will be decided on Wednesday and NC State will look to both help its profile, and also that of the ACC, as the Wolfpack...
  • vontobelnfl

    NFL Week 12 lessons learned

    It was an emotional week for me in the NFL, as the Indianapolis Colts’ failed cover cost me a share of the first-place prize in the Westgate SuperContest...
  • vontobelnba

    Three NBA trends to watch

    It was a somewhat quiet week in the NBA with the league taking a night off for Thanksgiving, but there is still plenty to discuss. This week we touch...
  • macneil

    Hockey bettors must beat closing line

    In the end, wins and losses are really all that matters, because every sports bettor’s goal is to make money. However, wins and losses don’t...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games wise guys like

    NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 13

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints The Dallas Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU and ATS) on Thursday night as both...
  • moore

    Let's re-examine Gonzaga wagers

    Those predictions we heard about this college basketball season being filled with upsets and uncertainty? Well, they seem to be pretty accurate just a...
  • makinennfl

    Simulating rest of NFL season

    (To view the charts associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 13 card

    NFL Week 12 was a rough roller-coaster here in the Tuley’s Takes home office and for a lot of bettors. Thanksgiving weekend actually started great...
  • burkecbb

    CBB schedule strength key for bettors

    Another week of college basketball is in the books, and we have some bigger sample sizes to consider now. Most teams have still played only about one-fifth...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close