Today we have a loaded Thursday betting menu to choose from, including Thursday Night Football in both pro and college, plus 10 NHL games, 3 NBA games and one MLB playoff game
. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
In the meantime, let's discuss where the action is flowing for tonight's Thursday Night Football showdown...
8:20 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns
This Thursday Night clash features a pair of .500 teams looking to snap losing skids. The Broncos (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) started the season 3-0 but have since gone 0-3, most recently falling to the Raiders 34-24 last week, losing outright as 5-point home favorites. Similarly, the Browns (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) started the season 3-1 but have since lost two straight, including a 37-14 loss to the Cardinals last week, losing outright as 3-point home favorites. The Broncos are + 16 in point differential. The Browns are + 5.
This line opened with Cleveland listed as roughly a 6-point home favorite. As soon as the line was released, respected money pounced on the Broncos getting points, steaming Denver down to + 3.5. Then, once it was announced Baker Mayfield would miss this game due to injury and Case Keenum would start in his place, we saw a second rush of Broncos money hit the market, dropping Denver down to + 2.
Denver matches several profitable betting systems. Road dogs off a loss are 18-11 ATS (62%) this season. Primetime dogs are 12-6 ATS (67%). Conference dogs are 39-26 ATS (60%). Short road dogs + 3 or less are 12-4 ATS (75%). Teddy Bridgewater is 24-7 ATS (77%) in his career as a dog, including an incredible 19-2 ATS (91%) as a road dog.
Respected money has also come down on this under, dropping the total from 44 to 41. Unders are 51-42 (55%) this season. If the total is 45 or less, the under is 17-9 (65%). Weather could also play a factor here. The forecast calls for low 60s with 15-20 MPH winds at the Dawg Pound. When the wind blows at least 10 MPH the under is 17-10 (63%) this season and roughly 55% the past decade.