Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a comprehensive breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast. It will be posted by 2:30 p.m. ET.
In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Thursday Night Football...
8:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles (-13.5, 45.5) at Houston Texans
The Eagles (7-0) are the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL. Philadelphia is coming off a 35-13 win over the Steelers, easily covering as 11.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Texans (1-5-1) own the second worst record in the league. Only the Lions (1-6) are worse. Houston has lost two straight and just fell to the Titans 17-10, failing to cover as 1-point home dogs.
This line opened with the Eagles listed as a 13-point road favorite. The public sees an easy blowout win and cover for Philadelphia and 73% of bets are laying the points with the Eagles. This lopsided action pushed the Eagles up to the key number of -14. That's when some sharp buyback took Houston +14, causing the line to fall back down to 13.5 where it rests now.
The Texans match several profitable betting systems. Dogs are 70-52 ATS (57%) this season. Dogs that failed to cover the previous week are 28-18 ATS (61%). Big dogs +7 or more are 17-10 ATS (63%). Dogs who missed the playoffs the previous season are 51-35 ATS (59%). Primetime dogs are 14-10 ATS (58%). Houston is only receiving 27% of bets but 50% of money, a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" bet discrepancy in their favor.
Smart money has also hit the over, steaming the total up from 43.5 to 45.5. The over is receiving 63% of bets but 91% of money, a notable sharp over discrepancy. Despite the over move, primetime unders have been a smart bet this season, going 16-9 (66%).