Let's kick off a new week in the NFL with another Thursday Night Football game, this time between the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers.
We've got a market report on the game from South Point director Chris Andrews and a best bet from Adam Burke and Dave Tuley as Week 15 gets underway.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 52) at Los Angeles Chargers
Market Report from Chris Andrews: I opened Kansas City -3.5. The first sharp bet was on the Chiefs, so I quickly went to -4. I wanted to get out in front of any bandwagon effect. Kansas City’s a public team that’s covered four in a row, but at KC -4, other sharps jumped on the Chargers. Those sharps kept betting LAC + 3.5. I’m down to the key number of 3. Maybe that first bet was a head fake. I expect the public to play the Chiefs between now and kickoff. Looks like sharps will take + 3.5 or better whenever it’s offered in a divisional rivalry game that both teams need in the playoff chase.
My opening total of 50.5 has climbed the ladder to 51, 51.5 and 52. I could see this one rising further. You regulars know the public loves betting Overs in standalone TV games because it’s more fun to root for points. Weather won’t be an issue indoors in LA. On the side and total, this will be a heavily bet game.
Burke: Perception plays such a huge role with NFL lines. Take, for example, this Thursday Night Football game. Los Angeles won the first meeting 30-24. The Chargers were + 4 in turnover margin, as both teams had 5.8 yards per play. The Chiefs racked up 6.2 yards per carry, which has been the bugaboo for the Chargers all season long.