Thursday NHL Sharp Report

canes

Today bettors have a loaded Thursday slate to choose from, including 2 NBA games, 10 NHL games and a full College Basketball card. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:30 p.m. ET.

I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's dive into a handful of NHL games receiving wiseguy action today...

 

7 p.m. ET: Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

The Hurricanes (28-9-2) are 4-1 over their past five games and just edged the Knights 4-3 in overtime, cashing as -210 home favorites. Similarly, the Senators (13-20-3) have won two straight and just blanked the Sabres 5-0, cashing as -170 home favorites. This line opened with Carolina listed as a -190 road favorite and Ottawa a  170 home dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the big price and have steamed the Hurricanes up from -190 to -240. Big road favorites -175 or more are 49-12 (80%) this season. Big road favorites -200 or more are 31-5 (86%). Carolina is 23-7 as a favorite and 14-5-1 on the road. Ottawa is 12-22 as a dog and 6-10 at home. Ottawa is playing their 4th game in six days. 

 

7 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders

These non-conference foes are trending in opposite directions. The Kings (21-16-6) are just 1-4 over their last five games and just fell to the Rangers 3-2, losing as  140 road dogs. On the flip side, the Islanders (15-14-6) are 7-2 over their last nine games and just beat the Flyers 4-3, cashing as big -280 home favorites. This line opened with the Islanders listed as a modest -130 home favorite and the Kings a  120 road dog. Respected money has laid the chalk with New York, steaming the Islanders up from -130 to -140. Home favorites with a line move in their favor are 177-73 (71%) this season. Home favorites off a win playing an opponent off a loss are 97-31 (76%). The Islanders are 13-7 as a favorite this season. The Kings are 10-17 as a dog. We could be looking at a lower scoring game here, as the total is 5.5 juiced heavily to the under (-125). Both of these teams are "under" teams, with the Kings 27-15 to the under and the Isles 22-13 to the under. 

 

7 p.m. ET: Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers

The Golden Knights (25-15-3) just fell to the Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, losing as  175 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Panthers (29-9-5) just took down the Jets 5-3, cashing as -170 road favorites. This line opened with Florida listed as a -145 home favorite and Vegas a  130 road dog. Sharps are backing the Panthers at home, driving the line up from -145 to -160. Home favorites are 276-139 (67%) this season. Favorites off a win are 243-117 (68%). This would also match the home favorite off a win vs opponent off a loss system (76%). Florida is 28-10 as a favorite and 21-3 at home. Both teams are giving up roughly 3 GPG. The difference comes on offense, where the Panthers are averaging 4 GPG and the Knights 3.5 GPG. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game in this one. The total is 6.5 goals with the over juiced to -125. Both of these teams are profitable to the over this season, with the Knights 26-15 and the Panthers 26-17. 

 

Updated Stanley Cup Odds at BetMGM

Avalanche  500

Lightning  700

Maple Leafs, Knights  800

Panthers  900

Hurricanes  1100

Penguins  1600

Bruins  1800

Rangers  2000

Wild, Caps  2200

Flames, Predators, Blues  2500

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