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Thursday NHL Sharp Report for Senators-Jets, Canes-Stars, Ducks-Knights and Flames-Canucks

February 11, 2021 12:43 AM

Today we have a loaded betting menu featuring 30-plus college basketball games, 5 NBA games and 10 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:45 p.m. ET to offer a market update.

In the meantime, let's discuss a few NHL matchups tonight receiving notable line movement and betting system matches.

8 p.m. ET: Ottawa Senators (2-11-1) at Winnipeg Jets (7-4-1)

This North Division matchup looks incredibly lopsided on paper. The Senators are the worst team in the NHL. Ottawa has lost three straight and is just 1-9 over their last ten games. On the flip side, the Jets are 6-3-1 over their last ten games. This line opened with Winnipeg listed as a hefty -190 favorite and we've seen the line jump up to -200. The Jets match several profitable betting systems this season, including a home favorite (75-31, 71%) and a home favorite -150 or more (35-7, 83%). Winnipeg is also a favorite off a loss (47-16, 75%) and a favorite with a line move of 10 cents or more in their direction (33-10, 77%). Ottawa has a league-worst -27 goal differential while Winnipeg is + 6. The Senators are 1-6 on the road. The Jets are 5-2-1 at home. Respected money seems to be leaning under. The total is a high 6.5 with the under juiced to -125. The under is 9-5 in Senators games and 6-6 in Jets games.

8:30 p.m. ET: Carolina Hurricanes (7-3) at Dallas Stars (5-2-3)

Both of these Central Division foes are looking to get back in the win column. The Hurricanes have lost two of their last three while the Stars have dropped three straight. This line opened with Carolina listed as a short -115 road favorite and we've seen respected money push the Canes up to -125. Carolina has value as a favorite off a loss (47-16, 75% this season) and a favorite with a line move of ten-cents or more in their direction (33-10, 77%). The Canes also have a one-day rest advantage, having last played on Monday while the Stars played on Tuesday. Favorites with this "rest vs tired" advantage are 11-4 (74%) this season. Carolina is 6-3 as a favorite this season. The Stars are 0-2 as a dog.

10 p.m. ET: Anaheim Ducks (5-6-3) at Vegas Golden Knights (8-1-1)

These West Division opponents just met two nights ago and the Knights hung on to win 5-4, cashing as massive -225 favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Knights opened as big -220 favorites and have been bet up to -230 or even -240 at some shops. The Knights have value as a home favorite (75-31, 71% this season) and a big home favorite -150 or more (35-7, 83%). We've also seen heavy favorites of -200 or more go 18-4 (82%) this season. The Ducks are -10 in goal differential while the Knights are + 11. Vegas is 7-0-1 at home while Anaheim is 2-3-1 on the road. We've also seen some liability to the over. The total is 5.5 with the over juiced up to -120. The over is 8-2 in Knights games this season. The Ducks have been an under team (9-4-1).

10 p.m. ET: Calgary Flames (6-5-1) at Vancouver Canucks (6-10)

These North Division rivals are trending in completely opposite directions. The Flames are riding a two-game win streak while the Canucks have dropped five games in a row. This line opened with Calgary listed as a modest -130 road favorite and we've seen big steam light up the Flames, pushing Calgary up to -140 or even -150 at some shops. The Flames have value as a favorite with a line move of ten-cents or more in their direction (33-10, 77% this season). Favorites with a line move of 20-cents or more are a whopping 15-4 (79%). Calgary is + 3 in goal differential while Vancouver is -13. The Flames are 5-3 as a favorite. The Canucks are 3-10 as a dog. We've also seen pros lean toward this under. the total is a high 6.5 with the under juiced up to -120.

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