Thursday MLB Sharp Report


Today bettors have a loaded Thursday slate to choose from including 11 MLB games and Game 5 of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET.

I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. I'll also be hopping on Rush Hour with Danny Burke at 6:15 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's dive into a handful of MLB games receiving sharp action from respected bettors today...


1:10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (32-25) at Tampa Bay Rays (33-23)

The Rays have taken the first two games of this Interleague Series, winning the opener 4-2 as -150 home favorites and winning again 11-3 on Wednesday as -125 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, the Cardinals hand the ball to righty Miles Mikolas (4-3, 3.02 ERA) and the Rays counter with ace lefty Shane McClanahan (6-2, 2.10 ERA). This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -165 home favorite and St. Louis a +150 road dog. Pros aren't scared off by the big price and have laid the chalk with the Rays, steaming Tampa Bay up from -165 to -180. The Rays are 26-14 as a favorite, 24-18 against righties and 20-13 at home. We could also be looking at a lower-scoring game in this one, as the total is 7 with the under juiced to -120. The under is 8-4 over the last 12 Rays games. Historically, unders have performed better in domes and closed roof stadiums versus outdoor stadiums due to the fact the ball doesn't travel as well. 


6:40 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (21-37) at Miami Marlins (24-30)

The Marlins have taken the first two games of this division series, winning the opener 12-2 as -185 home favorites and winning 2-1 last night as -200 home favorites. In tonight's series finale, Washington starts righty Stephen Strasburg (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who is making his long awaited comeback from injury and season debut. Miami counters with lefty Trevor Rogers (2-5, 5.80 ERA). This line opened with Miami listed as a short -125 home favorite and Washington a +105 road dog. Sharps are fading Strasburg coming back from injury and have steamed Miami up from -125 to -130. The Marlins are 14-10 as a favorite. Washington is 16-33 as a dog and 12-19 on the road. Miami is 7-1 against the Nats this season. The Marlins are +18 in run differential. The Nats are -88. 


9:38 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (30-27) at Los Angeles Angels (27-31)

The Red Sox have taken the first three games of this four-game series, winning the opener 1-0 as +105 road dogs, taking the second game 6-5 as -135 favorites and then winning 1-0 again last night as -160 road favorites. Boston has now won seven straight while Los Angeles has dropped 14 in a row, tied for the longest losing streak in team history. In tonight's series finale, the Red Sox start righty Nick Pivetta (5-4, 3.50 ERA) and the Angels send out two-way ace Shohei Ohtani (3-4, 3.99 ERA). This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a -140 home favorite and Boston a +120 road dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're happy to ride the red-hot Sox at plus money and bet against the ice-cold Angels, as we've seen Boston fall from +120 to +110. Boston holds the edge offensively, hitting .260 while the Angels sit at .242. The total is 7.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling some over liability. The forecast calls for mid 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. 

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers


VSiN PrimeTime: Always check to see if a moneyline parlay offers better odds than a teaser. View more tips

Live Bet Tonight: In games with favorites laying 3 points or fewer, check out laying the price on the moneyline and avoid losing by a few points. View more tips


Matt Youmans: Washington +6 vs Texas. View more picks

Paul Stone: Florida State -7 vs Oklahoma. View more pick


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