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Thursday MLB Sharp Report

ohtani

Bettors have a loaded Thursday slate to choose from today, including 11 MLB games and 12 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining the Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET, co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET and then joining Rush Hour with Danny Burke at 6:15 pm. ET.

In the meantime, let's dive into a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action tonight...

 

8:05 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (3-3) at Texas Rangers (1-4)

The Angels just swept the Marlins in a two-game set and are coming off a 4-3 win as -145 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Rangers just got swept by the Rockies in a two-game series, falling 4-1 to Colorado as -150 home favorites their last time out. In tonight's series opener, Los Angeles hands the ball to two-way righty phenom Shohei Ohtani (0-1, 1.93 ERA) and Texas counters with fellow righty Dane Dunning (0-0, 5.40 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -130 road favorite and the Rangers a +120 home dog. Pros have pounced on Ohtani at the short chalk price, steaming Los Angeles up closer to -140. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game in this one, as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -120, signaling under liability and a possible fall down to 8.5. Unders are 50-32 (61%) on the season. The under is 5-1 in Angels games this season. The forecast calls for low 70s with 10 MPH winds blowing in from right at Globe Life Field. 

 

8:40 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (3-2) at Colorado Rockies (4-1)

The Cubs are coming off a 6-2 loss to the Pirates, losing as -125 road favorites. On the other hand, the Rockies have won four straight and just beat the Rangers 4-1, cashing as +140 road dogs. In tonight's series opener, Chicago taps lefty Justin Steele (1-0, 0.00 ERA) while Colorado trots out fellow lefty Kyle Freeland (0-1, 12.27 ERA). This line opened with Colorado listed as a -140 home favorite and Chicavo a +120 road dog. This public is riding the hot hand and laying the chalk with the Rockies at home. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the Rockies fall from -140 to -125. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the road dog Cubs (+120 to +105). Chicago has buy-low value as a road dog with a high total. Pros have also hit this under, dropping the total from 11.5 to 11 at several shops. The forecast calls for high 50s with 10 MPH winds blowing in from left. 

 

10:10 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (2-4) at Los Angeles Dodgers (3-2)

The Reds just got swept by the Guardians in a brief two-game series, falling 7-3 on Wednesday as -125 home favorites. On the flip side, the Dodgers just swept the Twins in a two-game series, blanking Minnesota 7-0 as -200 road favorites. In tonight's series opener, Cincinnati hands the ball to righty Luis Cessa (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Los Angeles counters with righty ace Walker Buehler (1-0, 3.60 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a hefty -225 home favorite and the Reds a +200 road dog. Pros aren't concerned by the big price and have laid the chalk with the Dodgers, steaming Los Angeles up from -225 to -250. Non-division home favorites are 512-325 (61%) since the start of last season. The Dodgers are +8 in run differential. The Reds are -5. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some over liability and a possible rise from 8.5 to 9. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to right center at Dodger Stadium.

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