Thursday College Basketball Sharp Report

michiganbball
Conference Tournament week continues with more than 50 College Basketball games on the Thursday docket. Bettors also have 13 NHL games and 2 NBA games to choose from today.
 
For a full breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:40 p.m. ET. I'll be joining the Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining Rush Hour with Danny Burke at 6:15 p.m. ET to offer a market update.
 
In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of College Basketball Conference Tournament games receiving sharp action today...
 
 
11:30 a.m. ET: Indiana vs Michigan
 
This early afternoon tipoff is the second round of the Big Ten Tournament. It also features two teams trending in different directions. Indiana (18-12 SU, 16-14 ATS) went 2-7 down the stretch and just lost to Purdue 69-67 but covered as 10-point road dogs. On the flip side, Michigan (17-13 SU, 13-17 ATS) went 10-6 down the stretch and just upset Ohio State 75-69, winning outright as 6-point road dogs. This line opened with Michigan listed as a short 2-point neutral court favorite. We've seen respected money lay the chalk, steaming Michigan up from -2 to -3. Michigan has buy-low value as a "bad" ATS team (13-17) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (16-14). Ken Pom has Michigan winning by two points (70-68). He has Michigan ranked 29th and Indiana 44th. Michigan beat Indiana 80-62 back on January 23rd, the only matchup of the season between the two teams. Michigan is -150 on the moneyline.
 
 
1:30 p.m. ET: Buffalo vs Akron
 
This is the MAC Tournament quarterfinal. Buffalo (19-10 SU, 12-17 ATS) is riding a two-game losing streak and just fell to Kent State 70-65, failing to cover as 3-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Akron (21-9 SU, 14-14 ATS) has won five straight games and finished off the regular season with a 57-56 win over Central Michigan, failing to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Buffalo listed as a 2-point neutral court favorite. Right off the bat, the opening line speaks volumes. If Buffalo has lost two straight and Akron has won five straight, then why is Buffalo favored? Shouldn't it be the other way around? The public is grabbing the points with Akron yet we've seen some shops move hint at moving Buffalo from -2 to -2.5. This signals sharp money buying low on Buffalo. Ken Pom has Buffalo winning by one point (72-71). He has Buffalo ranked 125th and Akron 152nd. Buffalo holds a big edge on offense (80 PPG vs 71 PPG) and in the rebounding department (43 RPG vs 35 RPG). Buffalo is -130 on the moneyline. This is a revenge spot for Buffalo, who lost to Akron 88-75 on January 1st, the lone matchup this season.
 
 
6:30 p.m. ET: Maryland vs Michigan State
 
This is  the second round of the Big 12 Tournament. Maryland (15-16 SU, 14-17 ATS) went 4-2 over their last six games while Michigan State (20-11 SU, 15-16 ATS) went just 3-7 over their final ten regular season games. However, these teams just met in the regular season and Michigan State won 77-67, covering as 6-point home favorites. This line opened with Michigan State listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps must have liked what they saw out of Michigan State in the last game. They're backing the Spartans to beat the Terps once again, driving Michigan State up from -2.5 to -3. The Spartans hold an edge in shooting (46% vs 44%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 35 RPG). Ken Pom has Michigan State winning by three points (73-70). He has Michigan State ranked 43rd and Maryland 84th. Michigan State is -150 on the moneyline.
back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

A Numbers Game: Keep an eye out for diminishing returns on teams that you were high on at the beginning of the season like the Colts. Know when to sell on these teams.

Follow The Money: QB play is down in the NFL, according to Michael Lombardi. Worth looking at more Unders until it changes.

View tips for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Tim Murray: Florida -10 vs Mizzou

Dave Tuley: Texans +7 at Jaguars

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-10-03_at_7.42.33_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

Close