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Thursday College Basketball Sharp Report

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Today the NBA returns with 7 games on tap. Thursday bettors also have 7 NHL games and roughly 65 College Basketball games to choose from as well. For a full breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:40 p.m. ET.
 
I'll be joining the Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining Rush Hour with Danny Burke at 6:15 p.m. ET to offer a market update.
 
Until then, let's discuss a trio of College Basketball games receiving sharp action tonight...
 
 
7 p.m. ET: Cleveland State at Detroit
 
The public is largely overlooking this Horizon League showdown. But pros have taken notice. Cleveland State (19-7 SU, 12-12 ATS) has won two straight games and just beat Green Bay 79-67, covering as 10-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Detroit (12-13 SU, 15-9 ATS) has also won two straight and just upset Wright State 8-75, winning outright as 1.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Cleveland State listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. Right off the bat this line is fishy. If Cleveland State has the far superior record, why is the line so low, especially against a below .500 team? Wiseguys smell a rate and have grabbed the points with Detroit, dropping the line from 1.5 to 1. Detroit is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Ken Pom has Detroit winning this game by one point (73-72), which provides actionable value on Detroit as a short home dog. 
 
 
7 p.m. ET: Siena at Quinnipiac
 
Both of these MAAC rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. Siena (13-11 SU, 13-11 ATS) has lost two of their last three and just fell to Monmouth 71-59, failing to cover as 7-point road dogs. On the other hand, Quinnipiac (12-12 SU, 10-13 ATS) is 1-5 over their last six games and just lost to Marist 67-66, covering as 5.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Quinnipiac listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Respected money has sided with the home team, driving Quinnipiac up from -2 to -2.5. Quinnipiac holds the edge on offense (73 PPG vs 66 PPG), shooting (44% vs 43%) and rebounding (35 RPG vs 33 RPG). Quinnipiac is 8-5 at home this season. Ken Pom has Quinnipiac winning by four points (73-69). He has Quinnipiac ranked higher as well (244th vs 248th). 
 
 
 
9 p.m. ET: Cal Santa Barbara at UC Davis
 
This Big West Conference clash features a pair of teams playing their best basketball at the right time. Santa Barbara (12-10 SU, 7-13 ATS) is 4-1 over their last five games and just beat Long Beach State 84-71, easily covering as 5.5-point home favorites. Similarly, UC Davis (11-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) has won three straight and just took down Cal Bakersfield 81-79, failing to cover as 6-point home favorites. This line opened with Santa Barbara listed as a short 1-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Santa Barbara driving the line from -1 to -2. Santa Barbara holds a distinct advantage in shooting (49% vs 45%). Ken Pom has Santa Barbara winning by two points (70-68). He has Santa Barbara ranked much higher (140th vs 223rd). Santa Barbara is -130 on the moneyline. 
 
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