It was a wacky week in the NBA, folks. LeBron James broke a dude’s face open, home teams ran roughshod over visitors and Unders continued to dominate the landscape. Let’s dive in and see what we can learn.
Favorites: 26-24-1 ATS (Season: 145-113-2 ATS)
22-30-1 (Season: 104-153-5)
After a chalky week in which favorites covered 69.1 percent of the contests, bettors saw a much more even split last week with a 26-24-1 ATS mark for favorites. That regression was expected, but what was not expected, at least by me, was the dominance by home teams. Through Sunday’s contests, home-court advantage peaked at + 4 before the Monday results brought that advantage down a point. This early in the season, some lopsided results will alter the strength of home court, but last week was nuts. Four teams won home games by 25 or more points, and overall home teams went 38-15 SU. Through five weeks, playing at home has been worth three points, and that advantage is something to note.