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Three early Week 15 NFL lines I like

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

December 12, 2021 08:41 PM
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Bye weeks are over and we'll have 16 games every week from here on out as the playoff picture comes together. For whatever reason, adding the 18th week seems to have made the regular season so much longer, even though it just means one more game for every team.

These last four weeks will be very interesting from a betting standpoint. “Tanking” teams will have inflated underdog prices. Playoff teams in “must-win” situations will have a premium placed on their lines. Market entry will continue to be important, but with the flu, injuries and COVID, timing may be more about luck than anything else.

Nevertheless, here are a few early lines I like for Week 15:

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns (-6.5, 43.5)

The Raiders are back on the road to play in another chilly city for a second straight week. This line may seem fairly big given the placement in the standings for these two teams, but the Raiders have had major offensive issues in the red zone and on third down, plus the Browns are better than their record. Cleveland’s losses have come primarily against division leaders and playoff teams, plus they’ve dealt with a ton of injuries this season.

It is a short week with a quick turnaround after a division game against the Chiefs for Las Vegas. Cleveland’s recovery time is also limited, but without the travel. The Raiders beat Cleveland in the cold and wind last year, in a game that basically could have swung either way and was significantly impacted by the conditions. That puts the Browns in a revenge spot.

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