Here are three cross-sport props I’m looking at this weekend. All involve Sunday’s Super Bowl and Saturday’s Cavaliers-76ers game:
Evan Mobley points+ rebounds vs. Matthew Stafford completions (-2.5)
As I see it, Matthew Stafford is going to have a decent day against the Cincinnati secondary. The Bengals ranked 32nd in passing yards allowed and 25th in yards after catch. Stafford fits the mold of a quarterback who can exploit those weaknesses, and Los Angeles has an underrated passing attack. Stafford averaged 23.8 completions during the regular season, and his prop for completions in the Super Bowl is 24.5. On the other hand, Evan Mobley is averaging 23.0 combined points and rebounds. The Cavaliers will be facing the 76ers and Joel Embiid, who will likely limit Mobley in both areas. Mobley scores most of his points from 4-to-14 feet, and with Embiid on the floor, opponents shoot just 37.1% from that area. Mobley might average 8.1 rebounds, but he’s not an efficient rebounder (16.0% defensive rebounding rate), while Embiid is. All of that together adds up to an edge for Stafford.