US Open 2023: Tennis best bets for Shelton vs. Paul, Wozniacki vs. Gauff - Sunday, September 3rd

By Zachary Cohen  ( Senior Editor) 

September 2, 2023 03:35 PM

Tennis best bets for the US Open - Sunday, September 3rd

The US Open is the final major of the year and it's arguably the most exciting of the four Grand Slams. There's just something special about this tournament being played in Flushing Meadows, New York, where the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center serves as one of the greatest venues in the sport. The drama of the night matches at Arthur Ashe Stadium can't be replicated anywhere else. With that out of the way, I'm hoping to continue dishing out winners over the next week, so make sure you keep reading for my tennis best bets for Sunday, September 3rd. 

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have

Ben Shelton vs. Tommy Paul

Shelton is one of the few players in this tournament that has made me look dumb. Despite having great results thus far, I have been on the wrong side of his matches. This time, I’m not even going to bother playing a side. I’m just playing the Over on games in his matchup with Paul, as I think this will be a lengthy match that will entertain the New York crowd for quite some time.

Paul should ultimately win this match, but Shelton’s serve is so good that it’s hard to imagine the 26-year-old beating the lefty in straight sets. Paul has made significant strides with his serve this year, as his hold percentage is up at 82.1% after being below 80.0% in each of his previous three full seasons on tour. But Paul can still occasionally let games get away, whereas Shelton is one of the best servers on tour. That should give the 20-year-old a chance of winning a set or two in this match.

These two met at the Australian Open, where Paul earned a 7-6 (6), 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 win. That match easily went over this game total and I can see this match being very similar.

Bet: Over 39.5 Games (-105) 

Caroline Wozniacki vs. Coco Gauff

I have a future on Gauff to win the tournament, but I haven’t been overly impressed with her play in New York. There have obviously been some flashes of brilliance, but there has also been some sets in which she has just looked lost. I believe Gauff is struggling a little to deal with the pressure that comes with being an American that is expected to win in New York. But regardless of what it is, I can’t see her beating Wozniacki in straight sets.

Wozniacki hasn’t looked anything like a player that spent years away from the game. She is playing well in pressure moments, and her movement along the baseline is off the charts. Wozniacki’s defense was one of her best traits before she retired, and she once again looks like one of the best defenders in the women’s game. That could get to Gauff in this match, as she’ll force her to hit a lot of extra shots.

I’m not sure Wozniacki will ultimately win this match, but I think she’ll have a shot. So, I’m taking her at plus-money odds to win at least a set.  

Bet: Wozniacki +1.5 Sets (+145)

2023 Overall Record: 274-248 (+43.53 units) 

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