Mutua Madrid Open 2023: Tennis best bets for Altmaier vs. Coric, Martic vs. Swiatek - Wednesday, May 3rd

By Zachary Cohen  ( 

May 1, 2023 06:20 PM

Tennis best bets for the Mutua Madrid Open - Wednesday, May 3rd

The Mutua Madrid Open is one of the most exciting clay-court events of the season, as this is a 1000-level tournament for both the men and the women. This is one of the biggest non-majors of the entire year, so most of the stars are out on the red clay over the next week. We're going to have you covered with tennis best bets for every big tournament of the season, so keep reading for our tennis predictions for Wednesday, May 3rd and make sure you keep coming back for more! Also, make sure you actively check out our Pro Picks page, as we have been posting plays there regularly throughout the tournament. We actually ended up having a big day with plays posted there yesterday! 

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on May 2

Daniel Altmaier vs. Borna Coric

We have won back-to-back matches in which we have backed Coric, but this is a really good spot for Altmaier. The German comes into this one after having won three straight-set matches in a row, so he should be feeling very fresh here. He actually spent only an hour and 20 minutes on the court in his 6-3, 6-0 win over Jaume Munar. Meanwhile, Coric needed three hours and 27 minutes to defeat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and that came right after a physical win over Hubert Hurkacz in the previous round. At some point, this stuff starts to wear you out.

Altmaier has also played more clay-court matches than Coric this year, and he has been rather successful on the dirt. Altmaier won a Challenger event in Sarasota in the middle of April. Now, he comes into this match after having already won four matches in Madrid, as he needed to go through qualifying to get into the main draw. These wins might not seem all that impressive, but Altmaier has figured out ways to stack victories and that helps you build confidence.

Altmaier also happens to be playing with house money, as he was a lucky loser in this tournament. Nobody expected him to be here, so he’ll go out and play freely against Coric, who has to be physically exhausted. That’s why we’re taking him on the game spread — and we wouldn’t be shocked if he wins outright.

Bet: Altmaier +2.5 Games (-125) 

Petra Martic vs. Iga Swiatek

Swiatek was my pick to win this tournament and she’ll be my pick to win pretty much any clay-court event she plays the rest of the year. However, it really does feel like the oddsmakers are overvaluing her a little bit when it comes to her opponent’s total games props. We hit a big two-unit play on Ekaterina Alexandrova to win at least six games against Swiatek, and we’re going right back to it with Martic.

The reality of a play like this is that Martic really doesn’t have to do all that much to win. If she just holds serve at a decent clip, she’ll cash this one relatively quickly. And if by any chance she breaks Swiatek and finds a way to win four games in one of the two sets, it’ll be nearly impossible for this to lose.

Swiatek didn’t exactly look unbeatable in the win over Alexandrova either. She got sloppy in the second set and ended up needing to work a lot harder than expected to get across the finish line there. That should benefit Martic, who earned a straight-set win over Barbora Krejcikova last round. She’ll be well rested coming into this match, and she’ll also have the confidence of having just beaten one of the better clay-court players in the world.

Bet: Martic Over 5.5 Games Won (-130) 

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